Natural regime of streamflow trends in Macedonia
Ivan Radevski, S. Gorin, Milena Taleska, Olgica Dimitrovska
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引用次数: 6
Abstract
is study investigates the annual and seasonal trends of minimum, mean and maximum streamflow, analyzed on 13 gauges/streams with natural regime, predominantly mountainous and homogeneously distributed in the studied area. 'e varying period of at least 40 years is used in the analysis. A2er the pre-whitening TFPW method was applied, the Mann-Kendall and Sen’s slope tests were used for trend testing. 'e analysis detects significant decreasing trends in the country (according to a = 0.1 significance level). In general, the streamflow shows levels of decrease in almost all streams with lower or higher magnitude (from 0.1 to 0.01). 'e results provide a unique assessment of streamflow trends in the country and the current findings are consistent with those in other regions of Europe, especially in Southern Europe. Significant trends of decrease have been found in each of the 13 streamflow gauges throughout Macedonia without a single positive significant trend. 'e test confirmed the general decreasing streamflow trend in the country; even the stations without any significant decreasing results are generally heading downward. key words Macedonia – hydrology – streamflow – trends – Mann-Kendall – Sen’s test radevski, i., gorin, s., taleska, m., dimitrovska, o. (2018): Natural regime of streamflow trends in Macedonia. Geografie, 123, 1, 1–20. Received June 2017, accepted January 2018. © Česká geografická společnost, z. s., 2018 2 geografie 123/1 (2018) / i. radevski, s. gorin, m. taleska, o. dimitrovska
马其顿的自然水流趋势
研究区以山地为主、分布均匀的13条自然水系的最小、平均和最大水系的年和季节变化趋势。在分析中使用了至少40年的变化期。在采用预白化TFPW方法时,趋势检验采用Mann-Kendall和Sen 's斜率检验。我们的分析发现该国有显著的下降趋势(根据a = 0.1的显著性水平)。总的来说,几乎所有的溪流在较低或较高的数量级(从0.1到0.01)中都表现出减少的水平。他的研究结果提供了对该国河流趋势的独特评估,目前的研究结果与欧洲其他地区,特别是南欧的研究结果一致。在马其顿全境的13个流量计中,每一个都发现了明显的下降趋势,但没有一个明显的积极趋势。试验证实了全国水流量总体呈减少趋势;即使没有明显下降结果的站点也普遍下降。radevski, i., gorin, s., taleska, m., dimitrovska, o.(2018):马其顿河流趋势的自然状态。地理,123,1,1 - 20。2017年6月收稿,2018年1月收稿。©Česká geografick spole nost, z. s., 2018 2 geografie 123/1 (2018) / i. radevski, s. gorin, m. taleska, o. dimitrovska
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