Relationship between Inflation and Economic Growth

T. Reddy, Tjprc
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Abstract

This paper examines the relationship between Wholesale Price Index Inflation (WPI) and GDP growth in India for the period 1990-91 to 2018-19 using Multiple Regression Analysis. Policy makers and academicians would prefer WPI Inflation than Consumer price Index-Industrial workers (CPI-IW) and GDP Deflator because of its wide coverage and data availability. The study indicates a negative effect of inflation on GDP growth; while both Broad Money (M3) and Gross Domestic Capital formation has a positive effect on GDP growth. The results of the study also indicates a negative effect of GDP on inflation where as Broad Money has a positive effect on Inflation. The authors opine that policy makers should focus on raising output and infrastructure development to achieve a better macroeconomic environment in which growth and social justice can be ensured. The authors stressed the need for attracting private investments in order to enhance the investment level in the economy as it directly contributes for higher economic growth.
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通货膨胀与经济增长的关系
本文使用多元回归分析方法研究了1990-91年至2018-19年期间印度批发价格指数通胀(WPI)与GDP增长之间的关系。政策制定者和学者更喜欢WPI通货膨胀,而不是消费者价格指数-工业工人(CPI-IW)和GDP平减指数,因为它的覆盖面广,数据可用性好。研究表明,通货膨胀对GDP增长有负面影响;而广义货币(M3)和国内资本总值形成对GDP增长均有积极影响。研究结果还表明,国内生产总值对通货膨胀有负面影响,而广义货币对通货膨胀有积极影响。作者认为,政策制定者应该把重点放在提高产出和基础设施建设上,以创造一个更好的宏观经济环境,从而确保增长和社会公正。作者强调,为了提高经济中的投资水平,有必要吸引民间投资,因为投资对经济增长有直接的贡献。
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