The Retirement Migration Puzzle in China

Simiao Chen, Zhangfeng Jin, K. Prettner
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

We examine whether and how retirement affects migration decisions in China. Using a regression discontinuity (RD) design approach combined with a nationally representative sample of 228,855 adults aged between 40 and 75, we find that retirement increases the probability of migration by 12.9 percentage points. Approximately 38% of the total migration effects can be attributed to inter-temporal substitution (delayed migration). Retirement-induced migrants are lower-educated and have restricted access to social security. Household-level migration decisions can reconcile different migration responses across gender. Retirees migrate for risk sharing and family protection mechnisms, reducing market production of their families in the receiving households.
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中国退休人口迁移之谜
我们研究了退休是否以及如何影响中国的移民决策。采用回归不连续(RD)设计方法,结合228,855名年龄在40至75岁之间的全国代表性样本,我们发现退休使移民的可能性增加了12.9个百分点。大约38%的总迁移效应可归因于跨期替代(延迟迁移)。退休移民受教育程度较低,获得社会保障的机会有限。家庭层面的迁移决策可以调和不同性别的迁移反应。退休人员移徙是为了分担风险和家庭保护机制,减少了其家庭在接收家庭中的市场生产。
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