Small area estimation under a semi-parametric covariate measured with error

IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics Pub Date : 2022-12-08 DOI:10.1111/anzs.12377
Reyhane Sefidkar, Mahmoud Torabi, Amir Kavousi
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Abstract

In recent years, small area estimation has played an important role in statistics as it deals with the problem of obtaining reliable estimates for parameters of interest in areas with small or even zero sample sizes corresponding to population sizes. Nested error linear regression models are often used in small area estimation assuming that the covariates are measured without error and also the relationship between covariates and response variable is linear. Small area models have also been extended to the case in which a linear relationship may not hold, using penalised spline (P-spline) regression, but assuming that the covariates are measured without error. Recently, a nested error regression model using a P-spline regression model, for the fixed part of the model, has been studied assuming the presence of measurement error in covariate, in the Bayesian framework. In this paper, we propose a frequentist approach to study a semi-parametric nested error regression model using P-splines with a covariate measured with error. In particular, the pseudo-empirical best predictors of small area means and their corresponding mean squared prediction error estimates are studied. Performance of the proposed approach is evaluated through a simulation and also by a real data application. We propose a frequentist approach to study a semi-parametric nested error regression model using P-splines with a covariate measured with error.

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半参数协变量测量误差下的小面积估计
近年来,小面积估计在统计学中发挥了重要作用,因为它处理的是在与人口规模相对应的小样本甚至为零的区域中获得感兴趣参数的可靠估计的问题。嵌套误差线性回归模型常用于小面积估计,假设协变量测量无误差,且协变量与响应变量之间呈线性关系。小面积模型也被扩展到线性关系可能不成立的情况下,使用惩罚样条(p样条)回归,但假设协变量的测量没有误差。本文研究了在贝叶斯框架下,假设协变量中存在测量误差,采用p样条回归模型对模型的固定部分建立嵌套误差回归模型。在本文中,我们提出了一种频率论方法来研究一个半参数嵌套误差回归模型,该模型使用带有误差测量协变量的p样条。特别研究了小面积均值的伪经验最佳预测因子及其相应的均方预测误差估计。通过仿真和实际数据应用对该方法的性能进行了评价。我们提出了一种频率论方法来研究一个半参数嵌套误差回归模型,该模型使用带有误差测量协变量的p样条。
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来源期刊
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics 数学-统计学与概率论
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
9.10%
发文量
31
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics is an international journal managed jointly by the Statistical Society of Australia and the New Zealand Statistical Association. Its purpose is to report significant and novel contributions in statistics, ranging across articles on statistical theory, methodology, applications and computing. The journal has a particular focus on statistical techniques that can be readily applied to real-world problems, and on application papers with an Australasian emphasis. Outstanding articles submitted to the journal may be selected as Discussion Papers, to be read at a meeting of either the Statistical Society of Australia or the New Zealand Statistical Association. The main body of the journal is divided into three sections. The Theory and Methods Section publishes papers containing original contributions to the theory and methodology of statistics, econometrics and probability, and seeks papers motivated by a real problem and which demonstrate the proposed theory or methodology in that situation. There is a strong preference for papers motivated by, and illustrated with, real data. The Applications Section publishes papers demonstrating applications of statistical techniques to problems faced by users of statistics in the sciences, government and industry. A particular focus is the application of newly developed statistical methodology to real data and the demonstration of better use of established statistical methodology in an area of application. It seeks to aid teachers of statistics by placing statistical methods in context. The Statistical Computing Section publishes papers containing new algorithms, code snippets, or software descriptions (for open source software only) which enhance the field through the application of computing. Preference is given to papers featuring publically available code and/or data, and to those motivated by statistical methods for practical problems.
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