Which Reforms Work and Under What Institutional Environment: Evidence from a New Dataset on Structural Reforms

M. Onorato, A. Prati, C. Papageorgiou
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引用次数: 26

Abstract

Abstract Are structural reforms growth enhancing? Is the effectiveness of reforms constrained by a country's distance from the technology frontier or by its institutional environment? This paper takes a new and comprehensive look at these questions by employing a novel data set that includes several kinds of real (trade, agriculture, and networks) and financial (domestic finance, banking, securities, and capital account) reforms for an extensive list of developed and developing countries, going back to the early 1970s. First-pass evidence based on growth breaks analysis and on panel growth regressions suggests that on average, both real and financial sector reforms are positively associated with higher growth. However, on several occasions, botched reforms resulted in growth disasters. More important, the positive reform-growth relationship is shown to be highly heterogeneous and to be influenced by a country's constraints on the authority of the executive power and by its distance from the technology fro...
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哪些改革有效,在什么样的制度环境下有效:来自结构性改革新数据集的证据
结构性改革是否能促进增长?改革的有效性是否受到一个国家与技术前沿的距离或其制度环境的限制?本文采用了一套新颖的数据集,对这些问题进行了全新而全面的审视,这套数据集包括了自20世纪70年代初以来发达国家和发展中国家的多种实际(贸易、农业和网络)和金融(国内金融、银行、证券和资本账户)改革。基于增长中断分析和面板增长回归的初步证据表明,平均而言,实体和金融部门改革都与更高的增长呈正相关。然而,有几次,拙劣的改革导致了增长灾难。更重要的是,积极的改革-增长关系被证明是高度异质性的,并受到一个国家对行政权力权威的约束以及它与技术进步的距离的影响。
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