Abstract LB013: Clinical validation of a targeted methylation-based multi-cancer early detection test

Abstract

Introduction: A multi-cancer early detection (MCED) test as a complement to existing screening tests could increase the number of cancer cases detected in a population, potentially improving patient outcomes and survival as well as decreasing harmful and aggressive treatments. The Circulating Cell-free Genome Atlas study (CCGA; NCT02889978) was designed to develop and validate a blood-based MCED test analyzing plasma cell-free DNA (cfDNA) to detect cancer signals across multiple cancer types and simultaneously predict their signal origin. Here, the results of the third and final pre-specified CCGA validation sub-study for a refined MCED test in a large cohort in preparation for clinical use are reported. Methods: CCGA is a prospective, multicenter, case-control, observational study with longitudinal follow-up (overall population N=15,254). In this sub-study (n=5309), key primary objectives were to evaluate test performance for cancer signal detection (specificity, overall sensitivity, sensitivity by clinical stage) and signal origin prediction (accuracy). cfDNA from evaluable samples was analyzed using a targeted methylation bisulfite sequencing assay and a machine learning algorithm. The classifier was trained to target a specificity of 99.4% and locked before analysis of the independent validation set. Overall, 4077 participants comprised the independent validation set with confirmed status (cancer: n=2823; non-cancer: n=1254 with non-cancer status confirmed at year-one follow-up). MCED test results are reported for this confirmed status set. Results: Mean (SD) age in the cancer and non-cancer groups was 62.6 (11.76) and 56.2 (12.63) years, respectively. Specificity for cancer signal detection was 99.5% (1248/1254; 95% confidence interval: 99.0-99.8%). Overall sensitivity for cancer signal detection was 51.5% (1453/2823; 49.6-53.3%); sensitivity increased with stage (Stage I: 16.8% [14.5-19.5%], Stage II: 40.4% [36.8-44.1%], Stage III: 77.0% [73.4-80.3%], Stage IV: 90.1% [87.5-92.2%]). Stage I-III sensitivity was 67.6% (593/877; 64.4-70.6%) in a pre-specified set of 12 high-signal cancers accounting for ~63% of annual US cancer deaths [1] and was 40.7% (863/2118; 38.7-42.9%) in all cancers. Cancer signals were detected across >50 cancer types [2]. Overall accuracy of signal origin prediction in true positives was 88.7% (87.0-90.2%). Conclusions: In this pre-specified, large-scale, clinical validation sub-study of CCGA, the MCED test detected cancer signals across >50 cancer types, which is critical to maximize the number of cancer cases detected in a population. This MCED test performed with high specificity and high accuracy of signal origin prediction. These data lay the foundation for population-scale clinical implementation of this test. 1.US Mortality Data 1969-2016 (www.seer.cancer.gov); based on 2015-2016. 2.Amin et al. CA Cancer J Clin. 2017;67:93e99. Citation Format: Eric A. Klein, Donald Richards, Allen Cohn, Mohan Tummala, Rosanna Lapham, David Cosgrove, Gina Chung, Jessica Clement, Jingjing Gao, Nathan Hunkapiller, Arash Jamshidi, Kathryn Kurtzman, Michael V. Seiden, Charles Swanton, Minetta C. Liu. Clinical validation of a targeted methylation-based multi-cancer early detection test [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2021; 2021 Apr 10-15 and May 17-21. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2021;81(13_Suppl):Abstract nr LB013.