Trend of Reference Crop Evapotranspiration and its Correlation with Climatic Parameters in Khulna and Rajshahi Districts of Bangladesh

TK Acharjee, M. Ullah, K. Sojib, M. Hasan
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Abstract

Reference crop evapotranspiration (ETO) is an important hydro-meteorological phenomenon, which is influenced by changing climate. This study estimated the trends ETO and identified the correlation of changes in ETO with climatic parameters in Khulna and Rajshahi districts of Bangladesh. Daily observed climatic parameters of thirty years (1984– 2013) were used in CropWat model to estimate changes in monthly and seasonal ETO. Trend analysis of ETO and climatic parameters were done by Mann-Kendall test and Sen’s slope estimation. Correlation between ETO and climatic parameters were analyzed. The results showed a decreasing trend of ETO over most of the period of the year in Khulna and Rajshahi districts. On monthly basis estimation, decreasing trends of relative humidity, wind speed and sun shine hours in Khulna district, and decreasing trends of wind speed and sun shine hours in Rajshahi district played the dominant roles for the decreasing rate of ETO under recent climate change. On seasonal basis estimation, decreasing trends of relative humidity, wind speed and sun shine hours in Khulna district, and decreasing trends of wind speed and sun shine hours in Rajshahi district played the dominant roles for the decreasing rate of ETO under changing climatic condition. Changes in ETO were most strongly correlated with sun shine hours and most weakly with minimum temperature for both Khulna and Rajshahi. Wind speed was most strongly correlated with ETO for Dry/Rabi season. The findings of this study would be useful for agricultural water management of Bangladesh. Environ. Sci. & Natural Resources, 13(1&2): 1-12, 2020
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孟加拉国库尔纳和拉杰沙希地区参考作物蒸散量趋势及其与气候参数的相关性
参考作物蒸散量是一种重要的水文气象现象,受气候变化的影响。本研究估计了孟加拉国库尔纳和拉杰沙希地区的ETO趋势,并确定了ETO变化与气候参数的相关性。CropWat模型利用30年(1984 - 2013)的日观测气候参数估算了月和季节ETO的变化。利用Mann-Kendall检验和Sen’s slope估计对ETO和气候参数进行趋势分析。分析了ETO与气候参数的相关性。结果显示,库尔纳县和拉杰沙希县在一年中的大部分时间内,经济收支呈下降趋势。逐月估算表明,库尔纳地区的相对湿度、风速和日照时数的减少趋势,以及拉杰沙希地区的风速和日照时数的减少趋势对近期气候变化下ETO的减少率起主导作用。在季节基础上,库尔纳地区的相对湿度、风速和日照时数的减少趋势和拉杰沙希地区的风速和日照时数的减少趋势对气候条件变化下ETO的减少率起主导作用。库尔纳和拉杰沙希的ETO变化与日照时数的相关性最强,与最低气温的相关性最弱。在旱季/雨季,风速与ETO的相关性最强。本研究的结果将对孟加拉国的农业用水管理有益。环绕。科学。与自然资源,13(1&2):1-12,2020
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