STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF DEMAND FOR TELECOMMUNICATIONS SERVICES FOR FORECASTING PURPOSES – STUDY OF THE IMPACT OF FACTORS NOT ARISING FROM THE CALENDAR

Abstract

The aim of this study is to identify the impact of factors (not arising from the calendar) on the demand for connection services offered by a telecommunications operator. The theoretical part of the research presents the importance of the Prediction System (PS) as a kind of Decision Support System in the operational management of the telecommunications operator. Theoretical aspects of PS structure have been included. Special attention has been paid to the statistical analysis module (as the PS subsystem), which was implemented in the adopted (researched) scope in the empirical part of the research. The empirical part presents the results of statistical analyses of demand for telecommunications services in the scope enabling identification of the impact of factors not arising from the calendar (i.e. the impact of category of connection and type of subscribers) on the level and distribution of such demand. The presented research results provide premises for the construction of forecasting tools, carrying out the forecasting procedure and monitoring the forecasts, i.e. they provide the necessary premises for the implementation of subsequent components of the PS.