The 10-Year Incidence Trend of Common Cancers at a Referral Hospital in Tehran, Iran From 2007 to 2016

H. Sanaeinasab, E. D. Monfared, A. K. Zarchi, M. Saffari, A. Delavari
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Abstract

Background: Common cancers such as colon, breast, and lung cancer are increasing in developing countries. Objective: This study was conducted to determine 10-year trends and changes in common cancers in patients from a referral hospital in Tehran, Iran. Methods: This cross-sectional study investigated a study population comprising colon, stomach, lung, prostate, and breast cancer patients registered at the cancer center of a referral hospital in Tehran, Iran from April 1, 2007 to the end of March, 2016 (n=4472). Inclusion criteria were a definitive diagnosis of cancer and an age between 15 and 75 years. Data was entered into SPSS (version 18) software and analyzed using the Time Series analysis and Scatter IO graph. Results: Significant correlations (P value <0.001) were seen between age increases in patients and the increasing number of patients in any type of cancer. With almost all of the five studied cancers, incidence increased with aging (P value <0.001). The incremental linear trend in the age of patients with lung (P value = 0.008) and colon (P value = 0.004) cancers and the decreasing trend in the age of prostate cancer patients (P value = 0.001) were statistically significant. Conclusion: The incidence of cancer has increased over the past 10 years in both genders and ages. It is suggested that future studies should address the causes and factors behind the increasing incidence of common cancers.
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2007 - 2016年伊朗德黑兰某转诊医院常见癌症10年发病率趋势分析
背景:结肠癌、乳腺癌和肺癌等常见癌症在发展中国家呈上升趋势。目的:本研究旨在确定伊朗德黑兰一家转诊医院患者常见癌症的10年趋势和变化。方法:本横断面研究调查了2007年4月1日至2016年3月底在伊朗德黑兰一家转诊医院癌症中心登记的结肠癌、胃癌、肺癌、前列腺癌和乳腺癌患者(n=4472)。入选标准为明确诊断为癌症且年龄在15至75岁之间。数据输入SPSS (version 18)软件,使用时间序列分析和散点IO图进行分析。结果:患者年龄的增加与任何类型癌症患者数量的增加之间存在显著相关性(P值<0.001)。几乎所有研究的五种癌症,发病率随着年龄的增长而增加(P值<0.001)。肺癌(P值= 0.008)、结肠癌(P值= 0.004)患者年龄呈线性递增趋势,前列腺癌患者年龄呈递减趋势(P值= 0.001),均有统计学意义。结论:在过去的10年里,癌症的发病率在性别和年龄上都有所增加。建议未来的研究应解决常见癌症发病率增加背后的原因和因素。
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