CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ON AGRICULTURE AND PREVALENCE OF FOOD SECURITY IN PUNJAB, PAKISTAN

S. A. Shirazi
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

The purpose of the present study was to investigate the impact of temperature and rainfall variability in wheat and rice production for the period from 1981 to 2015 in Punjab, Pakistan. The datasets of climate and crops of 28 weather stations were analyzed using statistical methods. Findings revealed that the variability of the climate on wheat (Rabi) and rice (Kharif) crops observed (r2 = 903 and 938) in Punjab, respectively. The outcome showed that temperature during Kharif season is negatively influencing the rice. Similarly, a negative effect of temperature was also documented on wheat crop during Rabi season. A significant negative effect of rainfall was revealed which decreases the wheat production. Furthermore, variation in per capita availability of the rice and wheat crops indicated a negative impact of temperature on wheat and rice production.
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气候变化对巴基斯坦旁遮普省农业和粮食安全的影响
本研究的目的是调查1981年至2015年期间巴基斯坦旁遮普省小麦和水稻生产的温度和降雨变异的影响。利用统计方法对28个气象站的气候和作物数据集进行了分析。结果表明,旁遮普省小麦(Rabi)和水稻(Kharif)作物的气候变异率分别为(r2 = 903和938)。结果表明,秋收季节的温度对水稻的生长有不利影响。同样,气温对拉比季节小麦作物也有负面影响。降雨对小麦产量有显著的负影响。此外,水稻和小麦作物人均可得量的变化表明温度对小麦和水稻生产有负面影响。
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