Modelling the U.K. waste paper market

D. Deadman, R.K. Turner, R.P. Grace
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引用次数: 11

Abstract

This paper presents an attempt to construct an economic model of the U.K. waste paper industry. A primary determinant of the demand for waste paper was found to be the output of the packaging industry. Neither mechanical pulp prices nor waste paper prices appeared to have any significant effect on waste paper demand. Imports of waste paper appear to be determined to some extent (stock levels also being important) by the gap between forthcoming home supplies and forecasted usage requirements. On a limited price data base, it seems from our investigations that (with one exception in the period 1974/1975) the supply elasticity of waste paper in the United Kingdom is low, at least in the poorer quality grades. This would seem to be an important finding as it suggests that the opportunities for recycling waste paper might be substantially less than many have hoped.

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模拟英国废纸市场
本文试图构建英国废纸工业的经济模型。废纸需求的主要决定因素是包装工业的产量。机械浆价格和废纸价格似乎对废纸需求都没有显著影响。废纸的进口量似乎在某种程度上(库存水平也很重要)取决于即将到来的国内供应和预测的使用需求之间的差距。在有限的价格数据基础上,我们的调查似乎表明(除了1974/1975年期间的一个例外),英国废纸的供应弹性很低,至少在质量较差的等级中是如此。这似乎是一个重要的发现,因为它表明回收废纸的机会可能比许多人希望的要少得多。
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