Efficacy of ctDNA methylation combined with traditional detection modality to detect liver cancer among high-risk patients: A multicenter diagnostic trial.

Maomao Cao, Jufang Shi, Changfa Xia, He Li, Wei Cai, Xianyun Qi, Chunyun Dai, Wanqing Chen
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Abstract

Objective: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) plus ultrasound (US) have been considered to have high diagnostic accuracy for cancer detection, however, the efficacy of ctDNA methylation combined with the traditional detection modality of liver cancer has not been tested in a Chinese independent cohort.

Methods: The high-risk individuals aged between 35 and 70 years who were diagnosed with liver cirrhosis or had moderate and severe fatty liver were eligible for inclusion. All participants were invited to receive a traditional examination [referring to AFP plus US], and ctDNA methylation, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of different diagnostic tools were calculated. The logistic regression model was applied to estimate the area under the curve (AUC), which was further validated by 10-fold internal cross-validation.

Results: A total of 1,205 individuals were recruited in our study, and 39 participants were diagnosed with liver cancer. The sensitivity of AFP, US, US plus AFP, and the combination of US, AFP, and ctDNA methylation was 33.33%, 56.41%, 66.67%, and 87.18%, respectively. The corresponding specificity of AFP, US, US plus AFP, and the combination of all modalities was 98.20%, 99.31%, 97.68%, and 97.68%, respectively. The AUCs of AFP, US, US plus AFP, and the combination of AFP, US, and ctDNA methylation were 65.77%, 77.86%, 82.18%, and 92.43%, respectively. The internally validated AUCs of AFP, US, US plus AFP, and the combination of AFP, US, and ctDNA methylation were 67.57%, 83.26%, 86.54%, and 93.35%, respectively.

Conclusions: The ctDNA methylation is a good complementary to AFP and US for the detection of liver cancer.

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ctDNA甲基化联合传统检测方式在高危患者中检测肝癌的疗效:一项多中心诊断试验
目的:循环肿瘤DNA (ctDNA)和甲胎蛋白(AFP)加超声(US)被认为对癌症检测具有较高的诊断准确性,但ctDNA甲基化联合传统肝癌检测方式的疗效尚未在中国独立队列中得到检验。方法:年龄在35 ~ 70岁、诊断为肝硬化或中重度脂肪肝的高危人群入选。所有参与者被邀请分别接受传统检查[参考AFP加US]和ctDNA甲基化。计算不同诊断工具的敏感性和特异性。采用logistic回归模型估计曲线下面积(AUC),并进行10次内部交叉验证。结果:我们的研究共招募了1205人,其中39人被诊断为肝癌。AFP、US、US + AFP以及US、AFP和ctDNA甲基化联合检测的敏感性分别为33.33%、56.41%、66.67%和87.18%。AFP、US、US + AFP及所有方式联合的特异性分别为98.20%、99.31%、97.68%、97.68%。AFP、US、US + AFP、AFP、US和ctDNA甲基化的auc分别为65.77%、77.86%、82.18%和92.43%。AFP、US、US + AFP以及AFP、US和ctDNA甲基化组合的内部验证auc分别为67.57%、83.26%、86.54%和93.35%。结论:ctDNA甲基化是AFP和US检测肝癌的良好补充。
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