Monetary policy regimes and price stability in the West African monetary zone

Oluwafemi Isaac Ajayi, Seth K. Akutson
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

The study examined monetary policy regimes and price stability in the West African Monetary zone. This was undertaken given that countries in the zone are implementing different monetary policy regimes to achieve price stability for macroeconomic stability and economic growth, yet these have been elusive. So, the objective of the study was to examine the effect of monetary policy regimes on price stability in the West African monetary zone. The study adopted an ex-post facto research design and obtained secondary data from documents of the Central Banks of the WAMZ countries, the World Bank Development Indicator (WDI), the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and the International Financial Statistics (IFS) database for the period from 2001 to 2021. The method of data analysis involved the use of descriptive and analytical statistical tools. The estimation technique employed was the Panel Autoregressive Distribution Lag model, complemented by the Juodis, Karavias, and Sarafidis (2021) granger-causality test. The findings of the study indicate that the various monetary policy regimes being implemented in the West African Monetary Zone yielded conflicting effects on price stability. On the whole, the results show that the monetary policy rate against the money supply is more effective to achieve price stability in the West African monetary zone. Hence, the study makes the following recommendations; policymakers must ensure that an effective monetary policy is put in place to curb the persistent inflation in the zone that undermines socioeconomic development. Countries should review monetary policy rates appropriately to stimulate output growth, and, there should be cooperation between the monetary and fiscal authorities in the West African Monetary Zone to ensure smooth coordination and consistency in monetary and fiscal pursuits.
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西非货币区的货币政策制度和价格稳定
这项研究审查了西非货币区的货币政策制度和价格稳定。之所以这样做,是因为该区各国正在执行不同的货币政策制度,以实现价格稳定,促进宏观经济稳定和经济增长,但这些都是难以实现的。因此,本研究的目的是检验货币政策制度对西非货币区价格稳定的影响。本研究采用事后研究设计,并从2001年至2021年期间WAMZ国家中央银行文件、世界银行发展指标(WDI)、国际货币基金组织(IMF)和国际金融统计(IFS)数据库中获取二次数据。数据分析方法包括使用描述性和分析性统计工具。采用的估计技术是面板自回归分布滞后模型,辅以Juodis、Karavias和Sarafidis(2021)格兰杰因果检验。研究结果表明,在西非货币区实施的各种货币政策制度对价格稳定产生了相互矛盾的影响。总体而言,研究结果表明,相对于货币供应量的货币政策利率对西非货币区实现物价稳定更为有效。因此,本研究提出以下建议:政策制定者必须确保实施有效的货币政策,以遏制欧元区持续的通胀,这种通胀破坏了欧元区的社会经济发展。各国应适当调整货币政策利率,以刺激产出增长。西非货币区货币和财政当局之间应开展合作,确保货币和财政政策的顺利协调和一致。
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