Applying input-output analysis method for calculation of water footprint and virtual water trade in Gansu Province

IF 7.1 Q1 ECOLOGY 生态学报 Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI:10.5846/STXB201203160355
蔡振华 Cai Zhenhua, 沈来新 Shen Laixin, 刘俊国 Liu Junguo, 赵旭 Zhao Xu
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引用次数: 11

Abstract

In recent decades,China′s fast economic and social development has put a heavy burden on its water demand.Located in the northwest of China,Gansu Province is facing more and more serious water crisis.Waterfootprint is an indicator that is used to measure the water use derived from the consumed products.The water footprint concept will help the policymakers to make more rational policies for water resources management.Another relevant concept is the virtual water,which measures the embodied water in the traded products.For water scarce regions,the virtual water import of water intensive products will relieve the local pressure for water supply.Four methods can be used for the water footprint calculation,in which an input-output model provides a reliable and constantly updated framework for the disaggregated sectors.The quantification results are ready for the local government to carry out a better water resource management practice.This paper presents a framework of calculating and evaluating the water footprint and the virtual water trade of three sectors in Gansu Province with a single regional input-output model. The results showed that the virtual water intensity(water use per final demand,m3/Yuan) for the primary sector is the highest among the three sectors.However,the primary sector contributes most to the decrease of the total virtual water intensity in 2007.The primary sector also has the highest direct water use rate(80%),which is calculated as the proportion of direct virtual water intensity to the total virtual water intensity.While the direct water use rate of the second and third sectors is under 20%.The above mentioned results indicate that reducing the agricultural water use is one of the key measures to the water foot print reduction.Compared to the water footprint in 1997,the water footprint of the three sectors all increased in 2002(from 11.9billion m3 to 14.5 billion m3).However,the water footprint has seen a sharp decrease in 2007.It can be concluded that the main reason of the water footprint decrease is the successful water saving practice in agriculture. As for a region suffering from water scarcity,externalizing the water footprint is one of the methods to alleviatethe region′s pressure for water supply.The proportion of the external water footprint to the total water footprint has been increasing for the three years considered in Gansu Province.However,the external water footprint of the primary sector only accounts for 10% of the water footprint of the primary sector,which means that the food demand in Gansu Province largely depends on its own production.In addition,Gansu Province continuously exported its agricultural virtual water to other regions for the three years considered.In 2007,the virtual water export of the primary sector amounts to 10% of the total water resource and 25% of the total water use in the Province.The paper finally suggests that the policymakers in Gansu Province should keep reinforcing the water saving achievement,adjusting the industrial structure and trade patterns,as well as seeking for the possibility of the virtual water strategy for the province.
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应用投入产出分析法计算甘肃省水足迹和虚拟水交易
近几十年来,中国经济和社会的快速发展给水资源需求带来了沉重的负担。位于中国西北部的甘肃省正面临着越来越严重的水危机。水足迹是用来衡量消费产品所消耗的水的指标。水足迹概念有助于决策者制定更合理的水资源管理政策。另一个相关的概念是虚拟水,它衡量的是交易产品中所含的水。对于缺水地区,水密集型产品的虚拟水进口将缓解当地的供水压力。水足迹计算可采用四种方法,其中投入产出模型为分类部门提供了可靠且不断更新的框架。量化结果为地方政府开展更好的水资源管理实践做好了准备。本文提出了基于单一区域投入产出模型的甘肃省三部门水足迹和虚拟水贸易的计算与评价框架。结果表明:第一产业的虚拟水强度(单位最终需求用水量,m3/元)在三个产业中最高;然而,第一产业对2007年总虚拟水强度的降低贡献最大。第一部门的直接用水率也最高(80%),这是根据直接虚拟水强度占总虚拟水强度的比例计算的。而二、三部门的直接用水比例在20%以下。上述结果表明,减少农业用水是减少水足迹的关键措施之一。与1997年的水足迹相比,2002年三个部门的水足迹都有所增加(从119亿立方米增加到145亿立方米)。然而,2007年的水足迹急剧减少。可以得出结论,水足迹减少的主要原因是农业节水的成功实践。对于缺水地区而言,水足迹外部化是缓解该地区供水压力的方法之一。在考虑的三年中,甘肃省外部水足迹占总水足迹的比例一直在增加。然而,初级部门的外部水足迹仅占初级部门水足迹的10%,这意味着甘肃省的粮食需求在很大程度上取决于其自身的生产。此外,甘肃省连续三年向其他地区输出农业虚拟水。2007年,初级部门的虚拟水出口量占全省水资源总量的10%,占全省总用水量的25%。本文最后建议,甘肃省决策者应不断强化节水成果,调整产业结构和贸易模式,并为甘肃省寻找实施虚拟水战略的可能性。
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来源期刊
生态学报
生态学报 Environmental Science-Ecology
CiteScore
5.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
17028
审稿时长
68 days
期刊介绍: Our Journal publishes recent theories and novel experimental results in ecology, and facilitates academic exchange and discussions both domestically and abroad. It is expected that our journal will promote the development of and foster research talents for ecological studies in China.
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