{"title":"Remembering Paul E. Meehl: Historical Contributions to Predictive Modeling in Human Behavior.","authors":"Jihan Ryu","doi":"10.1097/HRP.0000000000000360","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Abstract: </strong>This article briefly examines the life and work of the late clinical psychologist and philosopher of science Paul E. Meehl. His thesis in Clinical versus Statistical Prediction (1954) that the data combination performed by mechanical operations, as compared to clinicians, achieves higher accuracy in predicting human behavior is one of the earliest theoretical works that laid the groundwork for utilizing statistics and computational modeling in research in psychiatry and clinical psychology. For today's psychiatric researchers and clinicians grappling with the challenges of translating the ever-increasing data of the human mind into practice tools, Meehl's advocacy for both accurate modeling of the data and their clinically relevant use is timely.</p>","PeriodicalId":12915,"journal":{"name":"Harvard Review of Psychiatry","volume":"31 2","pages":"92-95"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5000,"publicationDate":"2023-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/ca/54/hrp-31-92.PMC9997627.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Harvard Review of Psychiatry","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1097/HRP.0000000000000360","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"PSYCHIATRY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Abstract: This article briefly examines the life and work of the late clinical psychologist and philosopher of science Paul E. Meehl. His thesis in Clinical versus Statistical Prediction (1954) that the data combination performed by mechanical operations, as compared to clinicians, achieves higher accuracy in predicting human behavior is one of the earliest theoretical works that laid the groundwork for utilizing statistics and computational modeling in research in psychiatry and clinical psychology. For today's psychiatric researchers and clinicians grappling with the challenges of translating the ever-increasing data of the human mind into practice tools, Meehl's advocacy for both accurate modeling of the data and their clinically relevant use is timely.
摘要:本文简要回顾了已故临床心理学家、科学哲学家保罗·e·米尔(Paul E. Meehl)的生平和工作。他的论文《临床与统计预测》(1954)认为，与临床医生相比，机械操作的数据组合在预测人类行为方面具有更高的准确性，这是最早的理论著作之一，为在精神病学和临床心理学研究中利用统计学和计算模型奠定了基础。今天的精神病学研究人员和临床医生正在努力应对将不断增加的人类思维数据转化为实践工具的挑战，Meehl对数据精确建模及其临床相关应用的倡导是及时的。
期刊介绍：
The Harvard Review of Psychiatry is the authoritative source for scholarly reviews and perspectives on important topics in psychiatry. Founded by the Harvard Medical School''s Department of Psychiatry, the Harvard Review of Psychiatry features review papers that summarize and synthesize the key literature in a scholarly and clinically relevant manner. Topics covered include: Schizophrenia and related disorders; Mood disorders; Personality disorders; Substance use disorders; Anxiety; Neuroscience; Psychosocial aspects of psychiatry; Ethics; Psychiatric education; and much more.
In addition, a Clinical Challenges section presents a case with discussion from a panel of experts. Brief reviews are presented in topic-specific columns that include Cross-Cultural Psychiatry, History of Psychiatry, Ethics, and others.
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