The Folk Theorem for Repeated Games With Time-Dependent Discounting

Daehyun Kim, Xiaoxi Li
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Abstract

This paper defines a general framework to study infinitely repeated games with time-dependent discounting, in which we distinguish and discuss both time-consistent and time-inconsistent preferences. To study the long-term properties of repeated games, we introduce an asymptotic condition to characterize the fact that players become more and more patient, that is, the discount factors at all stages uniformly converge to $1$. Two types of folk theorem's are proven under perfect observations of past actions and without the public randomization assumption: the asymptotic one, i.e. the equilibrium payoff set converges to the individual rational set as players become patient, and the uniform one, i.e. any payoff in the individual rational set is sustained by a single strategy profile which is an approximate subgame perfect Nash equilibrium in all games with sufficiently patient discount factors. As corollaries, our results of time-inconsistency imply the corresponding folk theorem's with the quasi-hyperbolic discounting.
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具有时间相关折现的重复博弈的民间定理
本文定义了一个研究具有时间依赖折扣的无限重复博弈的一般框架,在这个框架中我们区分并讨论了时间一致偏好和时间不一致偏好。为了研究重复博弈的长期性质,我们引入了一个渐近条件来表征玩家变得越来越耐心的事实,即所有阶段的折扣因子一致收敛于$1$。在对过去行为的完美观察和没有公共随机化假设的情况下,证明了两种类型的民间定理:渐近定理,即当参与者变得耐心时,均衡收益集收敛于个体理性集;统一定理,即个体理性集中的任何收益都由单个策略轮廓维持,该策略轮廓是所有具有足够耐心折扣因子的博弈中的近似子博弈完美纳什均衡。作为推论,我们的时间不一致的结果蕴涵了与拟双曲折现相对应的民间定理。
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