Índice clínico de gravedad en pancreatitis aguda como predictor de mortalidad en pancreatitis aguda en el servicio de urgencias

Abstract

Objective

To determine BISAP as a predictor of mortality in acute pancreatitis in the Emergency Service.

Materials and methods

A cohort study in acute pancreatitis in emergency service, two groups were formed according to BISAP score, low risk (0-2) and high risk (3-5). The total sample for each group was 23.76, nevertheless it was worked with 111 patients of low risk and 23 of high risk. The sampling technique was non-randomized by quota. Mortality was measured at 24 h and at 7 days. Statistical analysis included logistic regression and probability calculation.

Results

When the BISAP score is high risk the probability of dying at 24 h is 22.7% and 76.5% at 7 days (Chi² = 13.91, P = .002).

Discussion and conclusion

The BISAP score allows predicting the probability of dying at 24 h and at 7 days.