Outcomes After Prolonged ICU Stays in Postoperative Cardiac Surgery Patients.

Thomas F Curran, Bipin Sunkara, Aleda Leis, Adrian Lim, Jonathan Haft, Milo Engoren
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Abstract

Background: Prolonged postoperative intensive care unit (ICU) stays are common after cardiac surgery and are associated with poor outcomes. There are few studies evaluating how risk factors associated with mortality may change during prolonged ICU stays or how mortality may vary with length of stay. We evaluated operative and long-term mortality in post-cardiac surgery patients after prolonged ICU stays at 7, 14, 21, and 28 days and factors associated with mortality.

Methods: We included University of Michigan Medical Center cardiac surgery patients with ≥ 7 postoperative days in the ICU. We determined factors associated with hospital mortality at 7, 14, 21, and 28 days of ICU stay using logistic regression, and among hospital survivors, we determined the factors associated with long-term mortality using Cox regression.

Results: Of 8309 ICU admissions from cardiac surgery, 1174 (14%) had ICU stays > 7 days. Operative mortality was 11%, 18%, 22%, and 35% for the 7-, 14-, 21-, and 28-day groups, respectively. Mechanical ventilation on the day of assessment was associated with increased odds ratios of operative mortality in all models. Of the 1049 (89%) hospital survivors, 420 (40%) died by late follow-up. Median (IQR) Cox model survival was 10.7 (0.7) years. Longer ICU stays, postoperative pneumonia, and elevated discharge blood urea nitrogen were associated with increased hazard of dying; whereas higher discharge platelet count and cardiac transplant were protective.

Conclusions: Both operative and late mortality increased as the duration of a ICU stay increased after cardiac surgery.

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心脏手术后患者延长ICU治疗的结果。
背景:心脏手术后延长重症监护病房(ICU)住院时间是常见的,并与不良预后相关。很少有研究评估与死亡率相关的危险因素如何在延长ICU住院期间发生变化,或死亡率如何随住院时间变化。我们评估了心脏手术后患者在ICU长时间停留7、14、21和28天后的手术死亡率和长期死亡率,以及与死亡率相关的因素。方法:我们纳入了密歇根大学医学中心心脏手术患者术后在ICU≥7天。我们使用logistic回归确定了与ICU住院7、14、21和28天住院死亡率相关的因素,在住院幸存者中,我们使用Cox回归确定了与长期死亡率相关的因素。结果:8309例心脏外科住院患者中,1174例(14%)住院时间大于7天。7天、14天、21天和28天组的手术死亡率分别为11%、18%、22%和35%。在所有模型中,评估当天的机械通气与手术死亡率的优势比增加相关。在1049例(89%)医院幸存者中,420例(40%)在随访后期死亡。中位(IQR) Cox模型生存期为10.7(0.7)年。ICU住院时间延长、术后肺炎和排出血尿素氮升高与死亡风险增加相关;而较高的血小板计数和心脏移植具有保护作用。结论:随着心脏手术后ICU住院时间的延长,手术死亡率和晚期死亡率均增加。
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