Consumption and income expectations during Covid-19.

IF 4.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Review of Economics of the Household Pub Date : 2023-04-22 DOI:10.1007/s11150-023-09656-8
Giovanni Immordino, Tullio Jappelli, Tommaso Oliviero
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Abstract

Using a survey of Italian households administered in November 2021, we study the effect of microeconomic and macroeconomic expectations about the health crisis and income growth on consumption expectations in 2022. The survey elicits individual-level indicators of income and consumption expectations, distinguishing between consumption at home, away from home, online and total. We find that expected household income and expected GDP growth are strongly related to consumption expectations; income risk is positively associated with expected consumption growth for richer households. Finally, our results indicate that health-related variables were not a major drivers of consumption expectations in 2022.

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新冠肺炎期间的消费和收入预期。
利用2021年11月对意大利家庭进行的一项调查,我们研究了微观经济和宏观经济对健康危机和收入增长的预期对2022年消费预期的影响。该调查得出了收入和消费预期的个人水平指标,区分了在家消费、外出消费、在线消费和总消费。我们发现,预期家庭收入和预期GDP增长与消费预期密切相关;收入风险与富裕家庭的预期消费增长呈正相关。最后,我们的研究结果表明,与健康相关的变量并不是2022年消费预期的主要驱动因素。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
9.30
自引率
3.90%
发文量
39
期刊介绍: The Review of Economics of the Household publishes high-quality empirical and theoretical research on the economic behavior and decision-making processes of single and multi-person households. The Review is not wedded to any particular models or methods. It welcomes both macro-economic and micro-level applications. Household decisions analyzed in this journal include ·         household production of human capital, health, nutrition/food, childcare, and eldercare, ·         well-being of persons living in households, issues of gender and power, ·         fertility and risky behaviors, ·         consumption, savings and wealth accumulation, ·         labor force participation and time use,·         household formation (including marriage, cohabitation and fertility) and dissolution,·         migration, intergenerational transfers,·         experiments involving households,·         religiosity and civility.The journal is particularly interested in policy-relevant economic analyses and equally interested in applications to countries at various levels of economic development. The Perspectives section covers articles on the history of economic thought and review articles. Officially cited as: Rev Econ Household
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