[Associating prognostic factors with clinical results in locally advanced breast cancer].

Nicolás Ramírez-Torres, Alfonso Reyes-López, Marcelino Hernández-Valencia
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Abstract

Background: Breast cancer is the most frequent malignant tumor in women.

Objective: To identify clinico-pathological and molecular markers as predictors of survival in patients with locally advanced breast cancer (LABC).

Methods: Retrospective and observational study. The clinical factors of clinico-pathological and molecular predictors in relation with overall survival (OS) were assessed by the survival function, baseline hazard with smoothing and Cox regression.

Results: 126 patients were assessed. OS at five years was significantly superior in patients with clinical stage IIIA (87%; p < 0.001), grade 2 tumor (81%; p < 0.001), pathological node stage (ypN0: 90%; p < .001), low-risk Nottingham prognostic index (86%; p < 0.001) and luminal A subtype (88%; p = 0.022). Baseline hazard with smoothing exhibited an increase in the mortality rate at 50 months for the luminal B/ HER2+ subtype compared with other subtypes. The multivariate analysis ascertained that the stage ypN2-3 (hazard ratio [HR] = 7.3; 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 2.2 to 23.9) and the HER2+ nonluminal (HR = 7.8; 95% CI: 2 to 29.6) and triple negative (HR = 5.4; 95% CI: 1.7 to 17.2) subtypes were associated with a poor OS.

Conclusions: The comprehensive evaluation of the molecular marker and clinico-pathological factors provides more accurate predictive and prognostic information. The nodal stage and molecular subtype are suitable clinical parameters on survival for LABC patients.

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[将局部晚期癌症的预后因素与临床结果相关联]。
背景:癌症是女性最常见的恶性肿瘤。目的:确定临床病理和分子标记物作为局部晚期癌症(LABC)患者生存的预测因素。方法:回顾性和观察性研究。通过生存函数、平滑基线风险和Cox回归评估临床病理和分子预测因素与总生存率(OS)的关系。结果:对126例患者进行了评估。五年时OS在临床IIIA期(87%;p<0.001)、2级肿瘤(81%;p<001)、病理节点期(ypN0:90%;p<.001)、,低风险诺丁汉预后指数(86%;p<0.001)和管腔A亚型(88%;p=0.022)。与其他亚型相比,管腔B/HER2+亚型在50个月时的基线风险平滑显示死亡率增加。多变量分析确定ypN2-3期(危险比[HR]=7.3;95%置信区间[95%CI]:2.2~23.9)和HER2+非发光亚型(HR=7.8;95%CI:2~29.6)和三阴性(HR=5.4;95%CI:1.7~17.2)亚型与OS不良相关准确的预测和预后信息。淋巴结分期和分子亚型是LABC患者生存的合适临床参数。
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