Development of Hypertension and Diabetes Mellitus, and Associated Factors, Among Adult HIV Patients in Ethiopia.

Background: Medical improvements and increased access to treatment have turned HIV from a highly fatal disease into a treatable and controllable disease. With the improvement in lifespan, HIV patients face increasing morbidity and mortality from chronic comorbidities (hypertension and diabetes mellitus). There is, nevertheless, a paucity of information on the scale of HIV noncommunicable disease comorbidity and its associated factors. This study aimed to investigate the incidence and predictors of chronic comorbidity in HIV patients in a resource-limited setting.

Methods: A prospective cohort study was conducted from 2019 to 2021. We included 520 HIV patients at baseline. Patients without hypertension or diabetes were followed for two years to determine the incidence of developing comorbidities. Nine trained nurses used a pre-tested structured questionnaire to collect data during routine care consultations in three hospitals in southern Ethiopia. To find predictors of these chronic comorbidities, a multivariable logistic regression analysis was used.

Results: After two years, 54 out of 377 participants, or 14%, had chronic comorbidity, which is defined as having diabetes and/or hypertension. Hypertension (12%) and diabetes (4%), respectively, were observed. When compared to those who were not overweight, the risk of developing chronic comorbidity was three times higher in overweight people [AOR = 3.45, 95% CI: (1.04, 11.45), P = 0.045]. Older participants were about 6 times more likely than younger participants to have chronic comorbidity [AOR = 4.93, 95% CI: (1.56, 15.57), P = 0.007]. Those who did not engage in regular physical activity were twice as likely to develop chronic comorbidity [AOR = 2.16, 95% CI: (1.09, 4.29), P = 0.027].

Conclusion: The incidence of chronic comorbidity was high in the study population. Targeted screening for early signs of chronic comorbidity, nutritional counseling, and awareness creation in regular physical activity programs should be integrated into HIV care to prevent and control chronic comorbidity in resource-limited settings.