Elly Nuwamanya, Joseph B Babigumira, Mikael Svensson
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The main model outcomes included the probability of unintended conception, costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) in terms of cost per unwanted pregnancy averted. Both deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the robustness of the modelling results. All costs were reported in 2022 US dollars, and analyses were conducted in Microsoft Excel.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>In the base case analysis, the FPBC was superior to the SOC in outcomes. The probability of conception was lower in the FPBC than in the SOC (0.20 vs. 0.44). The average societal and provider costs were higher in the FPBC than in the SOC, i.e., $195 vs. $164 and $193 vs. $163, respectively. The ICER comparing the FPBC to the SOC was $125 per percentage reduction in the probability of unwanted conception from the societal perspective and $121 from the provider perspective. The results were robust to sensitivity analyses.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Given Uganda's GDP per capita of $1046 in 2022, the FPBC is highly cost-effective compared to the SOC in reducing unintended pregnancies among young women in low-income settings. It can even get cheaper in the long run due to the low marginal costs of deploying additional FPBCs.</p><p><strong>Trial registration: </strong>MUREC1/7 No. 10/05-17. 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引用次数: 1
摘要
背景:乌干达的人口增长率高达3%,部分原因是避孕措施的获取有限和使用率低。本研究评估了计划生育福利卡(FPBC)项目与护理标准(SOC)项目的成本效益。FPBC计划的启动是为了增加乌干达坎帕拉贫民窟年轻妇女获得现代避孕措施的机会。方法:我们建立了一个决策分析模型(决策树),并使用主要干预数据和先前发表的数据对其进行参数化。在基本案例中,从改进的社会和提供者的角度对来自城市贫民窟的一名年龄在18至30岁之间的性活跃妇女进行了为期一年的建模。主要模型结果包括意外怀孕的概率、成本和增量成本-效果比(ICER),即每次避免意外怀孕的成本。进行确定性和概率敏感性分析以评估建模结果的稳健性。所有成本均以2022美元计算,并在Microsoft Excel中进行分析。结果:在基本病例分析中,FPBC的结果优于SOC。FPBC的受孕概率低于SOC (0.20 vs. 0.44)。FPBC的平均社会成本和供应商成本高于SOC,分别为195美元和164美元,193美元和163美元。从社会角度来看,将FPBC与SOC进行比较的ICER是每百分比减少意外受孕概率125美元,从提供者角度来看是121美元。结果对敏感性分析具有稳健性。结论:考虑到乌干达2022年的人均GDP为1046美元,与SOC相比,FPBC在减少低收入地区年轻女性意外怀孕方面具有很高的成本效益。从长远来看,由于部署额外的fpbc的边际成本较低,它甚至可以变得更便宜。试验报名:MUREC1/7 No. 10/05-17。2017年7月19日注册。
Cost-effectiveness of increased contraceptive coverage using family planning benefits cards compared with the standard of care for young women in Uganda.
Background: Uganda has a high population growth rate of 3%, partly due to limited access to and low usage of contraception. This study assessed the cost-effectiveness of the family planning benefits cards (FPBC) program compared to standard of care (SOC). The FPBC program was initiated to increase access to modern contraception among young women in slums in Kampala, Uganda.
Methods: We developed a decision-analytic model (decision tree) and parameterized it using primary intervention data together with previously published data. In the base case, a sexually active woman from an urban slum, aged 18 to 30 years, was modelled over a one-year time horizon from both the modified societal and provider perspectives. The main model outcomes included the probability of unintended conception, costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) in terms of cost per unwanted pregnancy averted. Both deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the robustness of the modelling results. All costs were reported in 2022 US dollars, and analyses were conducted in Microsoft Excel.
Results: In the base case analysis, the FPBC was superior to the SOC in outcomes. The probability of conception was lower in the FPBC than in the SOC (0.20 vs. 0.44). The average societal and provider costs were higher in the FPBC than in the SOC, i.e., $195 vs. $164 and $193 vs. $163, respectively. The ICER comparing the FPBC to the SOC was $125 per percentage reduction in the probability of unwanted conception from the societal perspective and $121 from the provider perspective. The results were robust to sensitivity analyses.
Conclusion: Given Uganda's GDP per capita of $1046 in 2022, the FPBC is highly cost-effective compared to the SOC in reducing unintended pregnancies among young women in low-income settings. It can even get cheaper in the long run due to the low marginal costs of deploying additional FPBCs.
Trial registration: MUREC1/7 No. 10/05-17. Registered on July 19, 2017.