了解供应链4.0及其对全球价值链的潜在影响

M. Ferrantino
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引用次数: 35

摘要

利用物联网(IoT)、大数据分析和自主机器人等先进技术对供应链进行重组,正在将供应链管理模式从从供应商到生产商、再到分销商、再到消费者再返回的线性模式转变为信息以全方位的方式向供应链流动的更加集成的模式。虽然电子商务非常适合这些技术,但它们也有望提高实体店的效率。这些技术通过降低成本、使生产更能响应消费者需求、促进就业(最有可能应用这些技术的供应链部门的就业增长速度远快于其他供应链部门和整个经济)和节省消费者的时间,正在产生巨大的效益。这些技术对供应链长度的影响是不确定的:它们可能通过鼓励制造业生产向高收入经济体回流而缩短供应链长度,从而减少发展中国家参与全球价值链的机会,或者它们可能通过减少协调和匹配成本来加强全球价值链。•数字技术正在将供应链管理从一个线性模型(指令从供应商流向生产商、分销商再流向消费者)转变为一个更加集成的模型(信息向多个方向流动,有时被称为供应链4.0)。•数字技术在包容性增长模式、创新和创业机会方面提供了巨大的好处•新的数字技术对全球价值链的影响是不确定的:它们可能会通过鼓励制造业生产回流来缩短供应链的长度,从而减少发展中国家参与全球价值链的机会,或者它们可能会通过减少协调和匹配成本来加强全球价值链。*我们非常感谢Gary Hufbauer、Satoshi Inomata、Kalina Manova、William Shaw、Emmanuelle Ganne和Lauren Deason的有益评论。所有错误和遗漏由作者负责。•全球化世界中的技术创新、供应链贸易和工人
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Understanding Supply Chain 4.0 and its potential impact on global value chains
The reorganization of supply chains using advanced technologies, such as the Internet of Things (IoT), big data analytics, and autonomous robotics, is transforming the model of supply chain management from a linear one, in which instructions flow from supplier to producer to distributor to consumer, and back, to a more integrated model in which information flows in an omnidirectional manner to the supply chain. While e-commerce is uniquely suited to many of these techniques, they also hold the promise of improving efficiency in brickand-mortar stores. These technologies are generating enormous benefits through reducing costs, making production more responsive to consumer demand, boosting employment (employment in supply chain sectors where such technologies are most likely to be applied has grown much more rapidly than in other supply chain sectors and in the economy as a whole) and saving consumers’ time. The impact of these technologies on the length of supply chains is uncertain: they may reduce the length of supply chains by encouraging the reshoring of manufacturing production to high-income economies, thus reducing opportunities for developing countries to participate in GVCs, or they may strengthen GVCs by reducing coordination and matching costs. • Digital technologies are transforming supply chain management from a linear model in which instructions flow from supplier to producer to distributor to consumer, and back, to a more integrated model in which information flows in multiple directions (sometimes referred to as Supply Chain 4.0). • Digital technologies offer huge benefits in terms of inclusive patterns of growth, innovation and entrepreneurial opportunities • The impact of new digital technologies on GVCs is uncertain: they may reduce the length of supply chains by encouraging the reshoring of manufacturing production, thus reducing opportunities for developing countries to participate in GVCs, or they may strengthen GVCs by reducing coordination and matching costs. * We are grateful for helpful comments by Gary Hufbauer, Satoshi Inomata, Kalina Manova, William Shaw, Emmanuelle Ganne, and Lauren Deason. All errors and omissions remain the responsibility of the authors. 104 • Technological innovation, supply chain trade, and workers in a globalized world
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Understanding Supply Chain 4.0 and its potential impact on global value chains Acknowledgments Executive summary Improving the accounting frameworks for analyses of global value chains Global value chains and employment in developing economies
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