基于电压敏感性分析的不确定性光伏装机容量评估

Yichao Dong, Shouxiang Wang, Lu Yu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

随着光伏系统在配电网中的日益普及,光伏主机容量(PVHC)评估成为当前研究的热点。为此,本文提出了一种基于仿射型电压敏感性和间隔型过电压风险分析的改进PVHC评价方法。该方法不仅可以减少电压敏感性分析的计算量,而且可以量化光伏组态不确定性带来的过电压风险。同时,区间算法(IA)和仿射算法(AA)的应用可以克服概率方法在处理不确定性方面的不足。采用IEEE 33总线试验馈线,验证了该馈线的合理性及其在电力公司光伏规划决策中的价值。
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Voltage Sensitivity Analysis Based PV Hosting Capacity Evaluation Considering Uncertainties
The increasing penetration of photovoltaic (PV) systems in distribution network (DN) currently makes the PV hosting capacity (PVHC) evaluation a research hotspot. To this end, this paper proposes an improved PVHC evaluation method based on the analyses of affine-form voltage sensitivity and interval-form overvoltage risk. This method can not only reduce the computational burden by voltage sensitivity analysis, but also quantify the overvoltage risk caused by the uncertainty of PV configuration. Meanwhile, the application of interval arithmetic (IA) and affine arithmetic (AA) can overcome the shortcomings of probabilistic approaches in dealing with uncertainties. The IEEE 33-bus test feeder is used to verify its reasonability and the value in decision-making of PV planning for utilities.
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