约旦伊斯兰或非伊斯兰货币政策对外国直接投资的影响(1980-2018)

Adham Taher Mohmmad Alessa, H. Mohammad
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摘要

本研究旨在探讨使用伊斯兰或非伊斯兰货币供应的货币政策对约旦外国直接投资的影响。使用ARDL模型对1980年至2018年期间选定的变量进行时间序列分析。为实现目标,采用了数据稳定性和协整检验等适当的统计检验。分析的变量包括货币供应量(M2),伊斯兰货币供应量(IMS),出口(EXP),政府支出(GOV),通货膨胀率(INR),国内生产总值(GDP)作为自变量。因变量是外国直接投资(FDI)。本研究得出货币供应量(M2)、伊斯兰货币供应量(IMS)与FDI之间的长期和短期统计显著相关。伊斯兰货币供应量(IMS)对FDI有正向影响,而货币供应量(M2)对FDI有负向影响。该研究建议;约旦政府必须实施有针对性的伊斯兰货币政策,以吸引外国对约旦经济的直接投资。为投资提供适当的环境,并消除一般投资的障碍,以便吸引在国外工作的约旦人的资本进行国内投资和外国投资。
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The Impact Of Monetary Policy Using Islamic Or Non-islamic Money Supply On Fdi In Jordan (1980-2018)
This study aimed to investigate the impact of monetary policy using Islamic or non-Islamic money supply on FDI in Jordan. Using time series analysis of selected variables during the period 1980 until 2018 using the ARDL model. The objective achieved the appropriate statistical tests such as data stability and co-integration tests have been used. The variables analyzed include the money supply (M2), the Islamic money supply (IMS), the export (EXP), Government Expenditure (GOV), inflation rate (INR), The gross domestic product (GDP) as independent variables. The dependant variable is the foreign direct investment (FDI). This study results in a long-term and short-term statistically significant correlation between the money supply (M2), the Islamic money supply (IMS) and FDI. The Islamic money supply (IMS) has a positive impact and the money supply (M2) has a negative impact on the FDI. The study recommended; the Jordanian government must implement a targeted Islamic monetary policy to attract foreign direct investment in the Jordanian economy. Provide an appropriate environment for investment and to remove the obstacles to investment in general, in order to attract the capital of Jordanians working abroad for domestic investment, as well as for foreign investments.
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