利用经验、多线性回归和GEP技术估算横波速度——以哈尔克岛海上油田为例

Mohammad Zamani Ahmad Mahmoudi, Mitra Khalilidermani, D. Knez
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摘要

横波速度v的确定是建立储层地质力学模型的重要组成部分。利用该参数与纵波速度和岩石密度一起计算地下地层的动弹性模量。在测井中,v可以通过偶极剪切声波成像仪(DSI)直接测量,但需要特殊的要求和技术考虑。因此,许多研究人员一直在努力开发具有成本效益的准确方法来估计油气田的Vs。Kharg岛海上油田位于波斯湾,由一个巨大的石灰石储层组成,称为Asmari地层。过去,人们进行了大量的研究,以建立预测Asmari储层v的数学关系;然而,这些关系不能正确估计v值。本研究利用海上直井测井资料,建立了Asmari地层v值估算的三个数学关系。为此,应用了线性回归(LR)、多元回归(MLR)和基因表达编程(GEP)方法。此外,还将这些关系的准确性与石灰石中v预测的一些经验相关性进行了比较。将这些数据驱动方程的结果与经验方程的结果进行比较,表明GEP方法的结果比其他方程的结果更准确。此外,发现Pickett经验相关比其他经验相关更适合于估算Asmari储层的v值。本研究所采用的方法是一种可靠的方法,可用于估算研究区以及其他地质条件相似的油藏的v值。这样的应用可以生成稳健的地质力学模型,从而提高项目的成功率和油田的开发进度。
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Estimation of Shear Wave Velocity Using Empirical, MLR, and GEP Techniques-Case Study: Kharg Island Offshore Oilfield
Determination of the shear wave velocity, Vs, is an integral part in creation of reservoir geomechanical models. This parameter together with the compressional wave velocity and rock density are utilized to calculate the dynamic elastic moduli of the subsurface formations. In well logging, the Vs can be directly measured through the Dipole Shear Sonic Imager (DSI) logs which need special requirements and technical considerations. Therefore, many researchers have strived to develop cost-effective accurate methods for Vs estimation in the oil/gas fields. The Kharg Island offshore oilfields, located in the Persian Gulf, consist of a giant limestone reservoir called Asmari formation. In the past, numerous studies were conducted to develop mathematical relations for Vs prediction in the Asmari reservoir; however those relations were not capable of estimating the Vs values correctly. In this research, the well logging data related to a vertical offshore well was utilized to develop three mathematical relations for Vs estimation in the Asmari formation. To do this, linear regression (LR), Multivariate Regression (MLR), and Gene Expression Programing (GEP) methods were applied. Moreover, the accuracy of those relations was compared with some available empirical correlations for Vs prediction in limestone rocks. Comparing the results of those data-driven equations with the empirical equations illustrated that the results of the GEP method are more accurate than other equations. Moreover, the Pickett empirical correlation was found to be more suitable than other empirical correlations for Vs estimation in the Asmari reservoir. The methodology applied in this research is a reliable procedure to estimate the Vs in the study area as well as other geologically similar oil reservoirs. Such an application leads to generation of robust geomechanical models increasing the project success and oilfield development progression.
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