利率决定经济周期吗?

B. Bidabad, Abul Hassan
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引用次数: 4

摘要

研究了存款人、银行和借款人的动态结构行为以及银行在经济周期形成中的作用。我们检验了银行行为是否通过利率引起经济波动的假设。通过将银行活动分为存款和贷款两个市场,我们表明这两个市场具有非同步结构,这就是货币部门波动开始的原因。因此,波动通过储蓄和投资功能传导到实体经济。实证结果表明,在美国,银行体系通过短期利率也造成了货币部门和实体经济的波动
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Does the Interest Rate Form Business Cycle?
Dynamic structural behavior of depositor, bank and borrower and the role of banks in forming business cycle are investigated. We test the hypothesis that does banks behavior make oscillations in the economy through the interest rate. By dichotomizing banking activities into two markets of deposit and loan, we show that these two markets have non-synchronized structures, and this is why the money sector fluctuation starts. As a result, the fluctuation is transmitted to the real economy through saving and investment functions. Empirical results assert that in the USA, the banking system creates fluctuations in the money sector and real economy as well through short-term interest rates
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