利用博弈论方法在供应链中通过共享需求预测进行协调

Ilhame El Farissi, Ilham Slimani, S. Achchab
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引用次数: 4

摘要

通过文献,作者对博弈论给予了相当大的关注,因为它在各个领域的广泛应用,包括经济学,政治学,心理学或生物学。本案例研究的目的是运用博弈论的方法对由单一零售商和单一供应商组成的基本两级供应链中的信息共享作为协调机制进行建模。本文是前人研究的续作;其中需求是基于摩洛哥一家超市的历史数据,使用人工神经网络的多层感知器结构来预测的。然而,本工作的重点是将所获得的预测结果在研究系统中实现为具有不对称和不完全信息的两个参与者的博弈,以找到保证双方参与者收益最大化的博弈均衡。事实上,这就是博弈论的全部内容。
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Coordination by sharing demand forecasts in a supply chain using game theoretic approach
Through the literature, authors give a considerable attention to game theory because of its wide range of applications in various fields including economics, political science, psychology or biology. The aim of this case study is to employ game theoretic approach to model information sharing as a coordination mechanism in a basic two-echelon supply chain composed of a single retailer and a single supplier. This paper is the sequel of previous works; where demand is forecasted based on historical data of a supermarket in Morocco using the Multi Layer Perceptron structure of the artificial neural networks. Nevertheless, this work focuses on the implementation of the obtained forecasting results in the studied system modeled as a game of two players with asymmetric and imperfect information, in order to find the equilibrium of the game that guaranties maximum payoff for both players. In fact, this is what game theory is all about.
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