学习行动:一种推荐最佳下一步活动的强化学习方法

Stefano Branchi, Chiara Di Francescomarino, Chiara Ghidini, David Massimo, Francesco Ricci, Massimiliano Ronzani
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引用次数: 6

摘要

. 在过去十年中,过程数据可用性的增加导致了几种数据驱动学习方法的发展。然而,这些方法中的大多数都局限于使用学习的模型来预测正在进行的流程执行的未来。本文的目标是向前迈进一步,并利用数据,通过向用户提供最佳策略建议来学习如何行动,从而优化性能度量。在本文中,我们采用一个过程参与者的(优化)视角,并推荐接下来执行的最佳活动,以响应在复杂的外部环境中发生的事情,在外部环境中没有对外生因素的控制。为此,我们研究了一种方法,该方法通过强化学习,从观察过去的执行中学习最佳策略,并推荐最佳活动来优化感兴趣的关键性能指标。该方法的潜力已经在两个场景中得到了证明,这些场景取自现实生活中的数据。
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Learning to act: a Reinforcement Learning approach to recommend the best next activities
. The rise of process data availability has led in the last decade to the development of several data-driven learning approaches. However, most of these approaches limit themselves to use the learned model to predict the future of ongoing process executions. The goal of this paper is moving a step forward and leveraging data with the purpose of learning to act by supporting users with recommendations for the best strategy to follow, in order to optimize a measure of performance. In this paper, we take the (optimization) perspective of one process actor and we recommend the best activities to execute next, in response to what happens in a complex external environment, where there is no control on exogenous factors. To this aim, we investigate an approach that learns, by means of Reinforcement Learning, an optimal policy from the observation of past executions and recommends the best activities to carry on for optimizing a Key Performance Indicator of interest. The potentiality of the approach has been demonstrated on two scenarios taken from real-life data.
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