人均收入与经济增长关系:为尼日利亚建立新的收入框架

Silva Opuala - Charles, J. Orji
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引用次数: 0

摘要

大多数新兴经济体经济表现不佳所带来的具有挑战性的后果,反映了公共收入管理体系的薄弱。因此,研究人均收入与经济增长的关系:为尼日利亚建立一个新的收入框架。本研究采用简约误差修正模型(ECM)调整自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型的参数,考察了经济增长的结果、实际国内生产总值(RGDP)对人均收入的代理、人均国民生产总值(GNPPC)的代理;固定资本形成总额;通货膨胀率(INFR)。这一发现揭示了GDP与其滞后值以及GNPPC之间的显著正相关关系。GDP与GNPPC滞后值之间存在显著负向影响;GDP与GFCF及其滞后值之间存在不显著的负向影响。在本报告所述期间,通货膨胀率与经济增长呈显著的负相关关系。基于这一发现,有人建议:税收产生机构应该通过重新思考尼日利亚的税收政策组合和设计来追求财政可持续性,以实现尼日利亚人的持久繁荣。
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Revenue Per Capita and Economic Growth Nexus: Building a New Revenue Framework for Nigeria
The challenging consequences of poor economic performance across most emerging economies is a reflection of the weak public revenue management system. Hence, the study into Revenue per capita and Economic growth nexus: Building a new revenue framework for Nigeria. The study employed the Parsimonious Error Correction Model (ECM) for adjusting the parameters of auto regressive distributed lag (ARDL) model to examine the outcome of economic growth, proxy of real gross domestic product (RGDP) on Revenue per capita, proxy of gross national product per capita(GNPPC); gross fixed capital formation (GFCF); and Inflation rate (INFR). The finding revealed a significant positive relationship between GDP and its lagged value, as well as GNPPC. Whereas, a negative but significant impact subsist between GDP and lagged value of GNPPC; while, an insignificant negative impact exists between GDP and GFCF and its lagged value. Inflation rate exhibited a moderate significant inverse relationship with economic growth during the review period. Based on the finding, It was recommended among others: tax revenue generating agencies should pursue fiscal sustainability by rethinking Nigeria’s tax policy mix and design to consummate enduring prosperity for Nigerians.
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