{"title":"多目标随机优化:专车市场实时匹配案例","authors":"Guodong Lyu, Wang Chi Cheung, C. Teo, Hai Wang","doi":"10.1287/msom.2020.0247","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Problem definition: The job of any marketplace is to facilitate the matching of supply with demand in real time. Success is often measured using various metrics. The challenge is to design matching algorithms to balance the tradeoffs among multiple objectives in a stochastic environment, to arrive at a “compromise” solution, which minimizes say the [Formula: see text]-norm–based distance function between the attained performance metrics and the target performances. Methodology/results: We observe that the sample average approximation formulation of this multiobjective stochastic optimization problem can be solved by an online algorithm that uses only gradient information from “historical” (i.e., past) sample information and not on the current state of the system. The online algorithm relies on a set of weight functions, which are updated adaptively over time, based on real-time tracking of the gaps in attained performance and the performance target. This allows us to recast the online algorithm as a randomized algorithm to solve the original stochastic problem. When the predetermined performance targets are attainable, our randomized policy achieves the targets with a near-optimal performance guarantee (measured by regret, or deviation away from the optimal performance). When the targets are not attainable, our policy generates a compromise solution to the multiobjective stochastic optimization problem, even when the efficient frontier for this stochastic optimization problem cannot be explicitly characterized a priori. We implement our model to address a challenge faced by a ride-sourcing platform that matches passengers and drivers in real time. Four performance metrics—platform revenue, driver service score, pick-up distance, and number of matched pairs—are simultaneously considered in the design of ride-matching algorithm, without prespecifying the weight on each performance metric. This mechanism has been extensively tested using synthetic and real data. Managerial implications: We show that, under appropriate conditions, all parties in the ride-sourcing ecosystem, from drivers, passengers, to the platform, can be better off under our compromise matching policy compared with other popular policies currently in use. In particular, the platform can obtain higher revenue and ensure better drivers (with higher service scores) are assigned more orders, and passengers are more likely to be matched to better drivers (albeit with a slight increase in the waiting time) compared with existing policies that focus on pick-up distance minimization. The ability to balance the conflicting goals in multiple objectives in a stochastic operating environment has the potential to contribute to the long-term sustainable growth of ride-sourcing platforms. Funding: This work was supported by the Singapore Ministry of Education AcRF Tier 3 [Grant MOE-2019-T3-1-010], the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology [Grant R9827], the Singapore Management University [Lee Kong Chian Fellowship], and the Singapore Ministry of Education AcRF Tier 2 [Grant T2EP20121-0035]. 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The challenge is to design matching algorithms to balance the tradeoffs among multiple objectives in a stochastic environment, to arrive at a “compromise” solution, which minimizes say the [Formula: see text]-norm–based distance function between the attained performance metrics and the target performances. Methodology/results: We observe that the sample average approximation formulation of this multiobjective stochastic optimization problem can be solved by an online algorithm that uses only gradient information from “historical” (i.e., past) sample information and not on the current state of the system. The online algorithm relies on a set of weight functions, which are updated adaptively over time, based on real-time tracking of the gaps in attained performance and the performance target. This allows us to recast the online algorithm as a randomized algorithm to solve the original stochastic problem. When the predetermined performance targets are attainable, our randomized policy achieves the targets with a near-optimal performance guarantee (measured by regret, or deviation away from the optimal performance). When the targets are not attainable, our policy generates a compromise solution to the multiobjective stochastic optimization problem, even when the efficient frontier for this stochastic optimization problem cannot be explicitly characterized a priori. We implement our model to address a challenge faced by a ride-sourcing platform that matches passengers and drivers in real time. Four performance metrics—platform revenue, driver service score, pick-up distance, and number of matched pairs—are simultaneously considered in the design of ride-matching algorithm, without prespecifying the weight on each performance metric. This mechanism has been extensively tested using synthetic and real data. Managerial implications: We show that, under appropriate conditions, all parties in the ride-sourcing ecosystem, from drivers, passengers, to the platform, can be better off under our compromise matching policy compared with other popular policies currently in use. In particular, the platform can obtain higher revenue and ensure better drivers (with higher service scores) are assigned more orders, and passengers are more likely to be matched to better drivers (albeit with a slight increase in the waiting time) compared with existing policies that focus on pick-up distance minimization. The ability to balance the conflicting goals in multiple objectives in a stochastic operating environment has the potential to contribute to the long-term sustainable growth of ride-sourcing platforms. 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引用次数: 2
摘要
问题定义:任何市场的工作都是促进供给与需求的实时匹配。成功通常是用不同的指标来衡量的。我们面临的挑战是设计匹配算法来平衡随机环境中多个目标之间的权衡,以达到一个“折衷”的解决方案,最小化达到的性能指标和目标性能之间基于规范的距离函数。方法/结果:我们观察到这个多目标随机优化问题的样本平均近似公式可以通过一个在线算法来解决,该算法只使用来自“历史”(即过去)样本信息的梯度信息,而不使用系统的当前状态。在线算法依赖于一组权函数,这些权函数随时间自适应更新,基于实时跟踪已达到的性能和性能目标之间的差距。这允许我们将在线算法重新定义为随机算法来解决原始的随机问题。当预定的性能目标可以实现时,我们的随机策略以接近最优的性能保证实现目标(通过后悔或偏离最优性能来衡量)。当目标无法实现时,我们的策略生成多目标随机优化问题的折衷解,即使该随机优化问题的有效边界不能明确地先验表征。我们实施我们的模型是为了解决乘车外包平台面临的挑战,该平台需要实时匹配乘客和司机。在设计乘车匹配算法时,同时考虑了平台收入、司机服务评分、接送距离和配对配对数量这四个性能指标,而没有预先指定每个性能指标的权重。这一机制已经使用合成数据和实际数据进行了广泛的测试。管理启示:我们表明,在适当的条件下,与目前使用的其他流行政策相比,在我们的妥协匹配政策下,拼车生态系统中的所有各方,从司机、乘客到平台,都可以获得更好的收益。特别是,与现有的以接送距离最小化为重点的政策相比,平台可以获得更高的收入,并确保更好的司机(服务分数更高)获得更多的订单,乘客更有可能匹配到更好的司机(尽管等待时间略有增加)。在随机操作环境中平衡多个目标中相互冲突的目标的能力,有可能有助于网约车平台的长期可持续增长。资助:本研究由新加坡教育部AcRF第3级(Grant MOE-2019-T3-1-010)、香港科技大学(Grant R9827)、新加坡管理大学(Lee Kong Chian Fellowship)和新加坡教育部AcRF第2级(Grant T2EP20121-0035)资助。补充材料:在线附录可在https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2020.0247上获得。
Multiobjective Stochastic Optimization: A Case of Real-Time Matching in Ride-Sourcing Markets
Problem definition: The job of any marketplace is to facilitate the matching of supply with demand in real time. Success is often measured using various metrics. The challenge is to design matching algorithms to balance the tradeoffs among multiple objectives in a stochastic environment, to arrive at a “compromise” solution, which minimizes say the [Formula: see text]-norm–based distance function between the attained performance metrics and the target performances. Methodology/results: We observe that the sample average approximation formulation of this multiobjective stochastic optimization problem can be solved by an online algorithm that uses only gradient information from “historical” (i.e., past) sample information and not on the current state of the system. The online algorithm relies on a set of weight functions, which are updated adaptively over time, based on real-time tracking of the gaps in attained performance and the performance target. This allows us to recast the online algorithm as a randomized algorithm to solve the original stochastic problem. When the predetermined performance targets are attainable, our randomized policy achieves the targets with a near-optimal performance guarantee (measured by regret, or deviation away from the optimal performance). When the targets are not attainable, our policy generates a compromise solution to the multiobjective stochastic optimization problem, even when the efficient frontier for this stochastic optimization problem cannot be explicitly characterized a priori. We implement our model to address a challenge faced by a ride-sourcing platform that matches passengers and drivers in real time. Four performance metrics—platform revenue, driver service score, pick-up distance, and number of matched pairs—are simultaneously considered in the design of ride-matching algorithm, without prespecifying the weight on each performance metric. This mechanism has been extensively tested using synthetic and real data. Managerial implications: We show that, under appropriate conditions, all parties in the ride-sourcing ecosystem, from drivers, passengers, to the platform, can be better off under our compromise matching policy compared with other popular policies currently in use. In particular, the platform can obtain higher revenue and ensure better drivers (with higher service scores) are assigned more orders, and passengers are more likely to be matched to better drivers (albeit with a slight increase in the waiting time) compared with existing policies that focus on pick-up distance minimization. The ability to balance the conflicting goals in multiple objectives in a stochastic operating environment has the potential to contribute to the long-term sustainable growth of ride-sourcing platforms. Funding: This work was supported by the Singapore Ministry of Education AcRF Tier 3 [Grant MOE-2019-T3-1-010], the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology [Grant R9827], the Singapore Management University [Lee Kong Chian Fellowship], and the Singapore Ministry of Education AcRF Tier 2 [Grant T2EP20121-0035]. Supplemental Material: The online appendices are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2020.0247 .