PRA软件工具

Ming Li, P. Pruessner
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引用次数: 0

摘要

概率风险评估(PRA)用于评估系统运行失败或成功的概率。风险评估方法提供的结果被用于做出有关改进设计的选择的决策。PRA已被应用或推荐给NASA的空间应用,以识别和减轻其风险。这些任务的复杂性和空间应用所需的各种信息源使人工解决它们变得不可行。软件工具是强制性的。迄今为止,已经开发了许多软件工具,并声称是PRA解决方案。哪种软件最适合特定的PRA总是一个问题。作者使用四种不同的可靠性/PRA软件工具(Relex, QRAS, sapphire, GoldSim)对NASA应用程序进行了有限范围的PRA,这些工具都是现成的。对每种工具的优缺点进行了识别和讨论。讨论了如何改进每个工具以更好地满足NASA PRA需求的建议。
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Software tools for PRA
Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) is performed to assess the probability of failure or success of a system's operation. Results provided by the risk assessment methodology are used to make decisions concerning choice of improvements to the design. PRA has been applied or recommended to NASA space applications to identify and mitigate their risks. The complexity of these tasks and varied information sources required for space applications makes solving them manually infeasible. Software tools are mandated. To date, numerous software tools have been developed and claimed as PRA solutions. It is always a concern which software best fits a particular PRA. The authors conducted a limited scope PRA on a NASA application using four different Reliability/PRA software tools (Relex, QRAS, SAPHIRE, GoldSim), which were readily available. The strength and weakness for each tool are identified and discussed. Recommendations on how to improve each tool to better satisfy NASA PRA needs are discussed.
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