COVID-19是否影响了价格权重关系和收益价值?

E. Dennis
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在2019冠状病毒病初期,大部分注意力都集中在管理肉类产品从食品服务到零售商店的重新定向上。过去一个月的重点是由于工人中出现COVID-19病例而关闭包装厂,以及如何管理已准备屠宰的肥牛的供应。可供屠宰的肥牛要么得不到出价,要么出价明显低于盈亏平衡价格,这让饲养场不得不决定营销和安置。2020年4月的饲料牛报告(https://usda.library.cornell.edu/concern/publications/m326m174z)揭示了3月份的安置决定。配售量比2020年2月下降了约10%,比2019年3月下降了25%。这在一定程度上是由于近期和延期的未来出价低迷,尽管近期出价的折扣似乎更大,这表明市场——至少目前——相信对产品的需求将在今年下半年复苏。作为对工厂关闭的回应,市场营销将在2020年6月的《饲料中的牛》报告中公布。
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Has COVID-19 Impacted Price-Weight Relationships and Value of Gain?
In the beginning of COVID-19, much of the attention was focused on managing the redirection of meat product from food service to retail stores. This past month has keenly focused on packing plant closures due to COVID-19 cases among workers and how to manage the supply of fat cattle already ready for slaughter. Fat cattle available for slaughter either cannot get bids or bids are significantly below breakeven prices leaving feedlots with decisions to be made about marketing and placements. The April 2020 Cattle on Feed report (https://usda.library.cornell.edu/concern/publications/m326m174z) revealed March placement decisions. Placements were down about 10% from February 2020 and 25% from March 2019. This was partially due to depressed nearby and deferred future bids, although the nearby bids appear to be discounted greater, suggesting that the market — at least right now — believes demand for product will recover in the second half of the year. Marketings as a response to plant closures will come in the June 2020 Cattle on Feed report.
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