计算的未来——技术预测和库兹韦尔奇点对社会的影响

P. Excell, R. Earnshaw
{"title":"计算的未来——技术预测和库兹韦尔奇点对社会的影响","authors":"P. Excell, R. Earnshaw","doi":"10.1109/ISTAS.2015.7439406","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Increases in the power and capability of collaboration and information exchange point to a trend towards artificial intelligence, at least of a form capable of designing and assembling technological devices, sometime in the present century. The exponential growth of the world's information and the Internet of Things will enable intelligent processing devices to deduce context. This combination of processing power and contextual knowledge appears to be well within the ability of current technology and, further, appears to have the ability to deliver the level of machine intelligence and skill that would lead to the phenomenon of \"The Singularity\", in which machines could become \"cleverer\" than human beings. This poses a major challenge for human beings to determine what their role would be after this event and how they would control the machines, including prevention of malevolent control. These developments in technology have significant implications for society whether or not they cause the large scale impact predicted by proponents of the singularity concept, such as Raymond Kurzweil.","PeriodicalId":357217,"journal":{"name":"2015 IEEE International Symposium on Technology and Society (ISTAS)","volume":"167 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2015-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"5","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The future of computing — The implications for society of technology forecasting and the Kurzweil singularity\",\"authors\":\"P. Excell, R. Earnshaw\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/ISTAS.2015.7439406\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Increases in the power and capability of collaboration and information exchange point to a trend towards artificial intelligence, at least of a form capable of designing and assembling technological devices, sometime in the present century. The exponential growth of the world's information and the Internet of Things will enable intelligent processing devices to deduce context. This combination of processing power and contextual knowledge appears to be well within the ability of current technology and, further, appears to have the ability to deliver the level of machine intelligence and skill that would lead to the phenomenon of \\\"The Singularity\\\", in which machines could become \\\"cleverer\\\" than human beings. This poses a major challenge for human beings to determine what their role would be after this event and how they would control the machines, including prevention of malevolent control. These developments in technology have significant implications for society whether or not they cause the large scale impact predicted by proponents of the singularity concept, such as Raymond Kurzweil.\",\"PeriodicalId\":357217,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2015 IEEE International Symposium on Technology and Society (ISTAS)\",\"volume\":\"167 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2015-11-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"5\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2015 IEEE International Symposium on Technology and Society (ISTAS)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/ISTAS.2015.7439406\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2015 IEEE International Symposium on Technology and Society (ISTAS)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ISTAS.2015.7439406","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5

摘要

协作和信息交换的力量和能力的增强指向了人工智能的趋势,至少是一种能够设计和组装技术设备的形式,在本世纪的某个时候。世界信息和物联网的指数级增长将使智能处理设备能够推断上下文。这种处理能力和上下文知识的结合似乎完全在当前技术的能力范围内,而且,似乎有能力提供机器智能和技能的水平,从而导致“奇点”现象,在这种现象中,机器可能变得比人类“更聪明”。这给人类提出了一个重大挑战,即确定在这一事件之后他们将扮演什么角色,以及他们将如何控制机器,包括防止恶意控制。这些技术的发展对社会有着重要的影响,无论它们是否会引起奇点概念的支持者(如雷蒙德·库兹韦尔)所预测的大规模影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
The future of computing — The implications for society of technology forecasting and the Kurzweil singularity
Increases in the power and capability of collaboration and information exchange point to a trend towards artificial intelligence, at least of a form capable of designing and assembling technological devices, sometime in the present century. The exponential growth of the world's information and the Internet of Things will enable intelligent processing devices to deduce context. This combination of processing power and contextual knowledge appears to be well within the ability of current technology and, further, appears to have the ability to deliver the level of machine intelligence and skill that would lead to the phenomenon of "The Singularity", in which machines could become "cleverer" than human beings. This poses a major challenge for human beings to determine what their role would be after this event and how they would control the machines, including prevention of malevolent control. These developments in technology have significant implications for society whether or not they cause the large scale impact predicted by proponents of the singularity concept, such as Raymond Kurzweil.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊最新文献
A semi-automated food voting classification system: Combining user interaction and Support Vector Machines Vision for secure home robots: Implementation of two-factor authentication The future of computing — The implications for society of technology forecasting and the Kurzweil singularity mAgriculture among pastoralist communities: A case of livestock farmers in kenyan arid and semi-arid lands Study on content rating and security permissions of mobile applications in google play
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1