江苏一次强对流系统的中尺度诊断分析

Yin Liu, Honggen Zhou, Hong Zhao
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摘要

利用再分析资料、地面观测资料和新一代雷达资料,从多个角度对2015年8月6日发生在江苏省的一次大尺度强对流进行了诊断和分析。主要结论是:地面飑线是这次强对流的直接影响系统。上层空气干燥寒冷,低层空气温暖潮湿。在对流过程中,风向突然改变,风速急剧上升,气压上升流,温度急剧下降,相对湿度急剧上升。大气能量在地面积累,中低层之间存在能量锋区,垂直上升速度强,水汽通量的低层辐合和高层辐散是强降水的有利因素。雷达回波显示,六河地区雷暴右侧有一个清晰的阵风锋,同时,回波左侧锋面有一个明显的弱窄带,对应雷暴后侧的流出边界。雷达回波中心在垂直方向上呈快速衰减趋势。以上特征对预测大风有很好的指示作用。
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Mesoscale Diagnostic Analysis of a Strong Convective System in Jiangsu Province
A large-scale strong convection which is occurred in Jiangsu Province on August 6 2015 is diagnosed and analyzed from various angles using reanalysis data, surface observation data and the new generation radar data. The main conclusions are the followings: the ground squall line is the direct impact system of this strong convection. The upper air is dry and cold and the low level is warm and humid. During this convection, the wind direction is suddenly changed, wind speed is shot up, the pressure is upwelling, the temperature is dropped sharply, and the relative humidity rises sharply. The atmosphere energy is accumulated in the ground, there is an energy front area between the middle level and lower level, the strong vertical rising speed, the low-level convergence and high-level divergence of water vapor flux are the favorable factors for heavy precipitation. The radar echo shows that there is a clear gust front on the right side of the thunderstorm in Liuhe area, simultaneously, and there is a distinct weak narrow-band in the left front of the echo, corresponding to the outflow boundary of the rear side of the thunderstorm. In addition, the center of the radar echo is observed decline rapidly in the vertical direction. The above characteristics have a good indication of the prediction of severe winds.
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