月亮对闪电的影响

I. Pinto, O. Pinto
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引用次数: 0

摘要

几个世纪以来,人们一直相信月亮会影响天气。这可能是众所周知的月球引力对海洋潮汐影响的结果。直到19世纪初,科学家们才试图证明这一点。然而,他们中的大多数人并没有找到任何确凿的证据。在20世纪初,月球潮汐对地表气压的影响被证实,但其幅度很小,无法产生任何显著的天气变化。1950年以后,有几个证据表明月相对降水和冰核浓度有影响,这使人们对这个问题重新产生了兴趣。为了解释这些证据,一些作者将月球的影响归因于月球对到达地球的陨石尘埃的调制,尽管其他人将其归因于引力潮汐,甚至归因于月球对对流层长波环流的影响。尽管有这样的证据,目前流行的观点是对天气不会有明显的影响。特别是,从16世纪到19世纪,大多数航海家都普遍相信月亮对雷暴活动的影响。与降水不同的是,只有三个研究(由同一作者发表)试图找出月球对雷暴活动的影响,所有这些研究都是基于在美国108个站点收集的两个相对较小的时期(1930-1933和1942-1965)的雷暴日数。研究发现,满月后两天雷暴活动增加,并将其归因于月球在地磁尾部对地球磁场的调制,以及/或太阳、地球和月球对齐对低层大气造成的未知影响。在本报告中,分析了巴西南部和东南部地区的三个站点55年来收集的雷暴日数以及过去15年来在东南部地区检测到的闪电数据,以调查月相的可能依赖性。据我们所知,这是首次将闪电数据用于这一目的的研究。分析结果显示,雷暴和闪电活动在第三季度有所减少。我们还发现闪电活动在新阶段有所增加,这在雷暴数据中没有观察到,而且在第一季度的减少也不那么明显。关于月球缺乏对称的结果表明,这种效应可能不是由于引力潮汐,而可能与月球与地球磁场的相互作用或其他未知的影响有关。由于现在闪电的数据可以在大区域和合理的长时间内获得,我们鼓励其他研究人员在其他国家寻找类似的影响。
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Moon effect on lightning
Belief that the moon has an effect on the weather is present for centuries. It is probably a result of the well-known effect of the moon's gravitational force on the ocean tides. It was only in the beginning of 1800s that scientists try to prove it. Most of them, however, didn't find any conclusive evidence. In earlier 1900s, a lunar tide on the surface air pressure was demonstrated, but its amplitude was found to be so small to produce any significant weather change. After 1950, several evidence that the lunar phases have an effect on precipitation and on ice nucleus concentrations were reported, giving a renew interest on the subject. In order to explain such evidence, some authors attributed the lunar influence to lunar modulation of meteoritic dust reaching the Earth, although others attributed this to gravitational tides or, even, a result of the lunar effect on the long wave circulation in the troposphere. In spite of such evidence, the prevailing view at the present time is that no appreciable effect on weather should be expected. In particular, the effect of moon on thunderstorm activity was a common believed of most navigators from the 1500s to 1800s centuries. Differently of precipitation, there is only three studies (published by the same author) trying to find the lunar influence on thunderstorm activity, all of them based on thunderstorm days for two relatively small periods (1930-1933 and 1942-1965) collected in 108 stations in the United States. The studies found an increase in the thunderstorm activity two days after full moon and attributed it to the lunar modulation of the earth's magnetic field in the geomagnetic tail and/or a unknown effect on the lower atmosphere caused by the aligning of Sun, Earth and moon. In this report, thunderstorm days collected in three stations in the South and Southeast regions of Brazil during 55 years and lightning data detected in the Southeast region in the last 15 years are analysed to investigate a possible dependence on lunar phases. As far as we known, this is the first study to use lightning data for this purpose. The results of the analysis show evidence of a decrease in the thunderstorm and lightning activity in the third quarter phase. We also found an increase in the lightning activity in the new phase, not observed in the thunderstorm data and less pronounced that the decrease in the quarter. The lack of a symmetric result with respect to the moon suggests that the effect is probably not due to gravitational tides and may be related to moon interaction with the Earth's magnetic field or other unknown effect. Since now lightning data are available for large regions and reasonable long periods, we encourage other researchers to search for similar effect in other countries.
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