基于GA-PSO混合算法的长短期记忆网络超参数优化LQ45库存预测

Adriel Lazaro Fitzhan, Antoni Wibowo
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摘要

股票是一种很好的投资工具,可以让钱免受通货膨胀的影响,现在成为一名交易员来谋生是很流行的。风险总是存在的,尤其是在交易的时候,因为股票很容易随着公司的变化而波动。预测建模是数据科学的一项功能,它可以通过预测股价走势来降低风险。本研究提出了一种预测序列数据模型,即基于混合GA-PSO (LSTM-GA-PSO)的优化超参数LSTM网络。混合遗传算法-粒子群算法旨在克服遗传算法执行速度慢和粒子群算法容易陷入局部最优的问题。结合两种算法的特点,混合算法可以解决彼此算法的缺点。利用印尼指数LQ45数据集的低波动存量对模型进行训练和检验,并将提出的模型与LSTM-GA和LSTM-PSO进行比较。实验结果表明,LSTM-GA-PSO混合算法具有良好的性能。混合遗传算法与粒子群算法相比,执行时间提高18.18%,准确率提高29.07%。
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Long Short-Term Memory Network Hyperparameter Optimization using Hybrid Algorithm GA-PSO on LQ45 Stock Prediction
Stock is a good investment tool, keeping money from inflation, and very trendy to earn a living nowadays by becoming a trader. There is always a risk, especially when trading, because stocks can fluctuate easily depending on the company. One of the data science capabilities, prediction modeling, can help lower the risk by predicting the stock price movement. This research proposed a prediction sequential data model, an optimized hyperparameter LSTM Network using hybrid GA-PSO (LSTM-GA-PSO). Hybrid GA-PSO aims to overcome the GA problem in terms of slow execution time and PSO that tend to be trapped in the local optimum. With the characteristics of both algorithms, the hybrid algorithm can solve each other algorithms downside. The low fluctuation stock of the Indonesian Index LQ45 dataset will be used to train and test the model and compare the proposed model with LSTM-GA and LSTM-PSO. Experiment results show that the hybrid LSTM-GA-PSO has a promising performance. Hybrid GA-PSO improved 18.18% of its time execution to GA and 29.07% accuracy to PSO.
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