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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文探讨了数字平台的作用及其潜在的未来发展。它有三个贡献。首先,引入数字平台生态系统的概念,取代平台经济。除了经济和技术驱动因素外,数字平台的发展还取决于许多政治和社会因素。特别强调了治理和制度在构建平台生态系统中的作用。其次,在情景规划的基础上探索数字平台生态系统的未来。这种方法允许考虑备选的未来轨迹,而不是依赖于当前趋势的外推。最后但并非最不重要的是,本文讨论了国际和国家组织开发的不同场景,这些场景突出了数字平台生态系统的潜在未来。
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Scenarios for Digital Platform Ecosystems
This paper explores the role of digital platforms and their potential future developments. It makes three contributions. First, the concept of digital platform ecosystem is introduced instead of platform economy. The development of digital platforms depends on a number of political and social factors in addition to economic and technological drivers. Particularly, the role of governance and institutions is emphasized for structuring platform ecosystems. Second, the future of digital platform ecosystems is explored on the basis of scenario planning. This approach allows to consider alternative future trajectories rather than rely on extrapolation of current trends. Last but not least, paper discusses different scenarios developed by international and national organizations which highlight potential futures for digital platform ecosystems.
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