基于盈余和应计制的市场异常:一种影响还是两种影响?

D. Collins, P. Hribar
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引用次数: 466

摘要

本文研究了Sloan(1996)对年度数据记录的权责发生定价异常是否适用于季度数据,以及这种形式的市场错误定价是否与收益公告后漂移异常不同。我们发现,市场似乎高估(低估)了季度收益中应计(现金流)部分的持续性,因此,倾向于高估(低估)应计(现金流)。此外,应计(现金流)错误定价似乎不同于收益公布后的漂移。利用这两种形式的市场错误定价的对冲投资组合交易策略产生的异常回报超过了仅基于意外收益、应计项目或现金流信息的回报。
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Earnings-Based and Accrual-Based Market Anomalies: One Effect or Two?
This paper investigates whether the accrual pricing anomaly documented by Sloan (1996) for annual data holds for quarterly data and whether this form of market mispricing is distinct from the post-earnings announcement drift anomaly. We find that the market appears to overestimate (underestimate) the persistence of the accrual (cash flow) component of quarterly earnings and, therefore, tends to overprice (underprice) accruals (cash flows). Moreover, the accrual (cash flow) mispricing appears to be distinct from post-earnings announcement drift. A hedge portfolio trading strategy that exploits both forms of market mispricing generates abnormal returns in excess of those based on unexpected earnings, accruals, or cash flow information alone.
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