常规能源与可再生能源混合电力均衡市场的市场机制与竞价策略分析

Bo Jie, T. Tsuji, K. Uchida
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引用次数: 11

摘要

近年来,随着可再生能源的普及,平衡市场在全球范围内变得更加重要。供应商以利润最大化为目的,不断研究在均衡市场竞价时的竞价策略。平衡市场的拍卖机制有两种主流:基于边际燃料成本的“统一价格拍卖”和基于歧视性定价的“按出价付费拍卖”。到目前为止,我们已经分析了这两种机制给出的清算点的差异。本文采用Q-Learning对市场参与者的竞价策略进行建模,使平衡市场中每个参与者的预期最终回报最大化。仿真结果还取决于仿真模型,特别是发电厂的边际成本。因此,我们有必要探索各种模拟设置,以找出理想的市场机制。另一方面,在日本,未来的平衡市场应该被设定为实时市场。在这种情况下,本文结合日本未来的电力和能源形势,采用更为现实的电力系统模型,主要评估基于统一价格和按出价付费拍卖机制的交易合理性。
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An analysis of market mechanism and bidding strategy for power balancing market mixed by conventional and renewable energy
Recently, with the penetration of renewable energy sources, the balancing market becomes more important worldwide. With the purpose of profit-maximization, suppliers are constantly researching the bidding strategy when bidding into the auction of balancing market. There are two mainstreams of auction mechanisms in balancing markets: “uniform-price auction” based on marginal fuel cost and “pay-as-bid auction” with discriminatory pricing. We have so far analyzed the difference of the clearing point given by both these two mechanisms. Here, the bidding strategy of market participants were modelled by using Q-Learning in which expected final reward of each player in the balancing market was maximized. The simulation result also depends on the simulation model, in particular, the marginal cost of generating plants. So, it is necessary for us to explore the various simulation settings to find out the desirable market mechanism. On the other hand, in Japan, the balancing market should be set out in the future as real time market. Under this condition, in this paper, we mainly evaluate the rationality of the trading based on the uniform-price and pay-as-bid auction mechanisms by using more realistic power system model considering the future power and energy situation in Japan.
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