最优控制下激进化S(易感)E(极端分子)R(招募者)I(免疫)的数学模型分析

Dauliyatu Achsina, M. Mardlijah
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摘要

激进化是指人们逐渐接受越来越极端的政治或宗教意识形态的过程,世界上几乎所有国家都出现了激进化现象。近年来,极端主义事件层出不穷,已成为世界关注的重大问题,特别是在国家安全领域。激进化已成为国家安全部门关注的焦点之一,因为它会导致极端主义、暴力和恐怖主义行为。激进化的程度每年都很高,而且还在不断增加,因此需要特别的监督来控制,因为它造成了巨大的经济损失。因此,需要作出预防性努力来克服这一点。防止激进运动的努力被广泛使用,从直接或间接的,此外,一些事情也由政府直接做。到目前为止,还没有看到这些努力的效果如何。激进化的形成是由于极端分子和招聘者集团的影响。许多个体受到影响并进入群体,是因为他们受到群体中属于自己范围的人的影响。为了克服这些问题,需要采取控制措施,努力防止激进主义。预防措施的形式是对招聘者的严厉制裁。接下来要找出控制对单个招聘人员群体的影响,需要一个工具来表示这个工具是一个模型。适合表示激进化相关问题的数学模型是易感(S)、极端分子(E)、招募者(R)、免疫(I)模型。
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Analysis Mathematical Model of Radicalization S(Susceptible) E(Extremists) R(Recruiters) I(Immunity) with Optimal Control
—Radicalization is a process when people come to adopt increasingly extreme political or religious ideologies, radicalization almost occurs in almost all countries in the world. Seeing a number of cases in recent times, radicalization has become a major concern for the world, especially in the field of national security. Radicalization has become one of the focuses in the national security sector because it leads to acts of extremism, violence and terrorism. The level of radicalization is high in each year and continues to increase so special supervision is needed to control it because it causes huge financial losses. Therefore a preventive effort is needed to overcome this. Efforts to prevent radical movements have been widely used, ranging from direct or indirect, in addition some things have also been done directly by the government. So far it has not been seen how effective these efforts are. Radicalization is formed because of the influence of extremists and the recruiters group. Many individuals are affected and enter the group because they are influenced by the people in the group who are within their scope. To overcome these problems, a control is needed as an effort to prevent radicalism. Prevention efforts are in the form of strict sanctions given to recruiters. Next to find out how the influence of controls on individual groups of recruiters is needed a tool to represent the tool is a model. The mathematical model that is suitable for representing the appropriate problems of radicalization is the Susceptible (S) , Extremists (E) Recruiters (R), Immunity (I) model.
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