恐惧的光明面:预期不对称解释了为什么损失的折现率低于收益

David J. Hardisty, S. Frederick, E. Weber
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引用次数: 6

摘要

对未来损失的恐惧比预期未来收益的快乐更重要,即使在控制了损失厌恶之后也是如此。这是因为等待获得是一种混合的情感体验,既快乐(由于享受)又痛苦(由于不耐烦),而等待失去是一种更单一的痛苦体验(恐惧)。预期预示着时间偏好,因此人们越喜欢预期(害怕)一件事,他们就越倾向于推迟(完成)这件事。综上所述,这些发现解释和调解了贴现中的“符号效应”,即损失被贴现的事实小于收益。此外,即使在控制了损失厌恶之后,这种结果模式仍然稳固。
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The Bright Side of Dread: Anticipation Asymmetries Explain Why Losses are Discounted Less than Gains
The dread of future losses weighs more heavily than the pleasure of anticipating future gains, even after controlling for loss aversion. This happens because waiting for a gain is a mixed emotional experience that is both pleasurable (due to savoring) and painful (due to impatience), whereas waiting for a loss is a more unidimensional painful experience (dread). Anticipation predicts time preference, such that the more people enjoy anticipating [dread] an event, the more they prefer to delay it [get it over with]. In combination, these findings explain and mediate the "sign effect" in discounting, i.e., the fact that losses are discounted less than gains. Furthermore, this pattern of results remains robust even after controlling for loss aversion.
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