汇率传递与货币计价:对东亚货币一体化的启示

Craig R. Parsons, Kiyotaka Sato
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引用次数: 25

摘要

出口商的定价行为和货币计价在新开放经济宏观经济学的文献中起着关键作用。本文估计了四个东盟国家:印度尼西亚、马来西亚、菲律宾和泰国的出口汇率传递系数。此外,在区域一体化的背景下讨论了以前对东亚的传递和发票行为的估计。新的过境系数是根据两个备选规格估计的,四个东盟国家各有多达34种货物,运往多达13个主要市场。研究结果表明:(a)东南亚几乎没有发生转嫁,(b)这种缺乏传递更可能归因于它们是相对一体化市场中的小国,而不是市场定价的证据。本文详细分析了这种明显的低传导程度对区域货币一体化的影响。
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Exchange Rate Pass-Through and Currency Invoicing: Implications for Monetary Integration in East Asia
Exporter's price-setting behaviour and currency invoicing play a key role in the literature on the new open-economy macroeconomics. This paper estimates exchange rate pass-through coefficients for the exports of four ASEAN countries: Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand. In addition, previous estimates of pass-through as well as invoicing behaviour in East Asia are discussed in the context of regional integration. The new pass-through coefficients are estimated under two alternate specifications for up to 34 goods for each of the four ASEAN countries destined for up to 13 major markets. The results suggest: (a) little pass-through is occurring in Southeast Asia and (b) this lack of pass-through is more likely attributable to the fact that they are small countries in a relatively integrated market, rather than evidence of pricing to market. The implications for regional monetary integration of this apparently low degree of pass-through are detailed.
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