废弃煤矿地下抽水蓄能水电站的探索性经济分析

R. Madlener, Jan Martin Specht
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引用次数: 58

摘要

本文研究了德国地下关停硬煤矿的地下抽水蓄能水电站的概念。在对如何在技术上实现这一目标进行审查之后,提出了经济可行性分析,特别关注地下水库的成本。对不同的较低(即地下)水库规模和时间套利潜力(峰值/非峰值电价差)进行分析,并通过蒙特卡罗模拟处理两个不同水头高度的成本不确定性。在成本和可接受性方面的研究结果与山区的传统抽水蓄能水电站进行了比较。在技术经济评价的基础上,认为在有利条件下,实现地下抽水蓄能电站在技术上是可行的,在经济上是合理的。更具体地说,管状系统的扩展似乎是最有希望的选择。矿井中的UPSHP电厂可能比传统电厂稍微贵一点,这个结果很大程度上取决于可行的水头高度。然而,显著减少对景观和当地居民的不利影响,以及在平坦地形上潜在的大量可行地点,可能使upshp成为未来能源转型的一个有趣选择,不仅在德国,而且在世界范围内,地下采矿正在被放弃。
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An Exploratory Economic Analysis of Underground Pumped-Storage Hydro Power Plants in Abandoned Coal Mines
This study researches the concept of underground pumped-storage hydro power plants in closed-down underground hard coal mines in Germany. After a review on how this could be realized technically, an economic feasibility analysis is presented, with a particular focus on the costs for the underground storage reservoir. The analysis is performed for different lower (i.e., underground) reservoir sizes and temporal arbitrage potentials (peak/off-peak electricity price spreads), and cost uncertainty is dealt with by means of a Monte Carlo simulation for two distinct head heights. The findings regarding costs and acceptability are compared with those of a classic (on-surface) pumped-storage hydro power plant in a mountainous area. Based on a techno-economic evaluation we conclude that under favorable conditions the realization of underground pumped-storage hydro power (UPSHP) plants seems both technically feasible and economically reasonable. More specifically, an extension of a tubular system seems the most promising option. A UPSHP plant in a mineshaft is probably slightly more expensive than a conventional one, an outcome that depends strongly on the feasible head height. However, the significant reduction of the adverse impacts on the landscape and on local residents, as well as a potentially large number of feasible sites in flat terrain, could make UPSHPs an interesting option for the future energy transition, not just in Germany but worldwide at sites where underground mining is being abandoned.
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