基于COVID-19数据的一类易感-去感染动态干预策略的数据驱动模型预测与最优控制

Chidentree Treesatayapun
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引用次数: 0

摘要

根据COVID-19数据,提出了一类易感感染去除动力学的自适应最优控制和模型预测。从实际的角度来看,COVID-19大流行的数据集是每天收集的,并以离散时间序列呈现。因此,本文建立了COVID-19大流行的离散时间数学模型。通过建立时变传播速率,模型的准确性大大提高了COVID-19大流行的实际数据。在保证闭环性能的前提下,通过理论分析和数值计算,推导出了最优控制器的干预策略。
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Data-driven model prediction and optimal control for interventional policy of a class of susceptible-infectious-removed dynamics with COVID-19 data

Adaptive optimal-control and model prediction are proposed for a class of susceptible-infectious-removed dynamics according to the COVID-19 data. From the practical point of view, data sets of COVID-19 pandemics are daily collected and presented in a discrete-time sequence. Therefore, the discrete-time mathematical model of COVID-19 pandemics is formulated in this work. By developing the time-varying transmission rate, the model's accuracy is significantly contributed to the actual data of the COVID-19 pandemic. Furthermore, the interventional policy is derived by the proposed optimal controller when the closed-loop performance is guaranteed by theoretical aspects and numerical results.

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