对奥尔特曼的z分数预测公司破产的使用进行分析。

Maureen Marsenne
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引用次数: 1

摘要

Altman用Z分数设置了衡量的阈值,所有Z分数大于2.99的公司都被归类为非破产公司。Z值在2.7到2.99之间的公司几乎没有问题(尽管不严重)。Z得分在1.8到2.69之间的公司表明,如果公司不进行根本性的改进,公司可能在两年内面临破产的威胁,Z得分低于1.8表明公司面临严重的破产威胁,投资者和债权人应谨慎投资。尽管所示的结果显示了所描述的值,但Altman模型Z分数的局限性使其可以在印度尼西亚银行业中进一步使用,有必要对每个变量使用的常数进行调整,以便可以更精确地用于预测印度尼西亚的银行破产。
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ANALISA PENGGUNAAN ALTMAN’S Z-SCORE UNTUK MEMPREDIKSI KEBANGKRUTAN PERUSAHAAN (STUDI KASUS PADA PT. BANK PERMATA, Tbk)
Altman set thresholds for measurement with the Z Score, all companies those with a Z Score greater than 2.99 are classified as non-bankrupt companies. Companies that have a Z score between 2.7 to 2.99 show little indication problem (though not serious). Companies that have a Z Score between 1.8 to 2.69 gives an indication if the company does not make radical improvements, the company may experience the threat of bankruptcy within two years and, Z Score below 1.8 shows an indication that the company is facing the threat of bankruptcy seriously and investors and creditors should be careful in making investments. Although the results shown show the value described, there is the limitations of Altman's Model Z Score so that it can be used more further in Indonesian banking it is necessary to make adjustments to the constants used for each variable so that it can be more precisely used to predict bank bankruptcy in Indonesia.
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