森林火灾危及塞尔维亚未开发地区

M. Radovanović, Boško Milovanović, João Gomes
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引用次数: 9

摘要

考虑到发现森林火灾成因的重要意义,提出了太阳活动假设(即太阳风的物理化学特征)作为这些自然灾害的可能原因。由于没有关于塞尔维亚境内火灾和烧毁地区数目的(区域)分布的充分数据基础,上述假设无法得到经验证实。因此,重点放在理论解释上,但也放在塞尔维亚和巴尔干地区发生的太阳和火现象的过程之间存在一致的特征情况上。建立相应的数据基将能够系统地解释塞尔维亚未开发地区的危险,而且也可以证实太阳风森林火灾的假设。未来多学科研究的方向应朝着更好的预防模式发展。
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Endangerment of undeveloped areas of Serbia by forest fires
Considering the significance of discovering the causes of forest fires, the hypothesis on the solar activity is presented (i.e. physical-chemical characteristics of the solar wind) as the possible cause of these natural disasters. The empirical confirmation of the mentioned hypothesis was disabled by the non existence of an adequate data base on the (regional) distribution of the number of fires and burned areas on the level of Serbia. Therefore an emphasis is put on theoretical explanations, but also on the characteristic situations in which there is an agreement between the processes occurring on the Sun and fire phenomena in the area of Serbia and the Balkans. The formations of the corresponding data base would enable the systematic explanation of endangerment of undeveloped areas of Serbia, but also the confirmation of the solar wind-forest fires hypothesis. The directions of the future multidisciplinary research should be directed towards the models for better prevention.
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