薪水保护计划:贷款发放后几周内小企业的收支平衡、收入和支出

Chris Wheat, Chi Mac
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摘要

工资保障计划(PPP)是一项前所未有的努力,旨在为受COVID-19影响的小企业提供流动性和工资支持。本报告利用拥有大通商业银行存款账户并获得PPP贷款的小企业的去识别数据集的日常交易,探讨了贷款金额与所有运营费用的关系,以及PPP贷款发放前后几周的小企业现金流。该分析包括在2020年5月和7月获得PPP贷款的企业,并显示这些贷款有助于增加小企业的现金余额,并在收入低迷期间支持支出。特别是,我们发现:(1)在获得PPP贷款的公司中,收益通常足以支付3.8周的费用;(2)PPP使典型的小企业现金余额增加了136%,支持了费用的立即增加;(3)其他COVID救济计划和转移可能增加了后来获得PPP贷款的公司的余额。虽然该计划支持工资,但政策制定者应该注意到工资只是小企业面临的众多费用之一,并考虑到对小企业的救济,特别是绝大多数非雇主,可能需要包括更多的工资援助。
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The Paycheck Protection Program: Small Business Balances, Revenues, and Expenses in the Weeks after Loan Disbursement
The Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) was an unprecedented effort to provide liquidity to and support the payroll of small businesses impacted by COVID-19. Leveraging daily transactions from a de-identified dataset of small businesses that hold Chase Business Banking deposit accounts and received PPP loans, this report explores loan amounts relative to all operating expenses as well as small business cash flows in the weeks before and after PPP loans were disbursed. The analysis includes businesses that received PPP loans in May and July 2020 and shows that the loans helped bolster small business cash balances and supported expenses during a period of depressed revenues. In particular, we found: (1) Among firms with PPP loans, the proceeds were typically enough to cover 3.8 weeks of expenses;(2) PPP increased the typical small business cash balances by 136 percent, supporting an immediate increase in expenses;(3) Other COVID relief programs and transfers may have bolstered balances of firms that received PPP loans later. While the program supported payroll as intended, policymakers should note that payroll is just one of the many expenses small businesses face and consider that relief for small businesses, especially the vast majority which are nonemployers, may need to encompass more than payroll assistance.
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