乌克兰危机:“核”方面

Lidiya E. Grishaeva
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在这篇文章中,作者对乌克兰危机进行了彻底和客观的分析,似乎是从一个完全明显的,但却出乎意料的方面。笔者认为,在考虑乌克兰问题时,有必要关注其“核方面”。发件人认为,在苏联解体和乌克兰独立后,乌克兰危机的尖锐程度加剧,首先是因为它希望获得自己的“核地位”,以“遏制俄罗斯”,但为了确保这一点,它没有适当的资源。作者讲述了前苏联解体后核武库分裂期间发生的戏剧性情况。发件人令人信服地证实了俄罗斯关于确认其绝对拥有核武器的权利的立场,因为有必要将核武器置于可靠和统一的控制之下。发件人正确地认为,在苏联解体后,在核武库所在的领土上形成了四个而不是一个核国家,《不扩散核武器条约》(不扩散条约,1968年)将受到违反。作者详细分析了1994年布达佩斯备忘录,并证明其主要实质是说服乌克兰确认其“无核地位”。作者揭示了美国和北约在向乌克兰提供“保证”以确认其“无核地位”方面的作用。作者认为,在目前的情况下,有必要将国际核安全作为一个单一的体系来维护,这也符合俄罗斯的利益。作为乌克兰危机的一部分,对“克里米亚问题”的分析占据了文章的一个特殊位置。作者揭示了“核均势”的本质,认为核武器的“扩散”打破了整个现有的国际核安全体系,并不能确保和平。作者认为,乌克兰危机的主要意义在于“核方面”,乌克兰危机的解决不应是单方面的,而应是各国共同的努力。
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Ukrainian crisis: «Nuclear» aspect
In the article, the author conducts a thorough and objective analysis of the Ukrainian crisis, it would seem, from a completely obvious, but rather unexpected side. The author believes that when considering the Ukrainian problem, it is necessary to focus on its "nuclear aspect". According to the author, the acuteness of the Ukrainian crisis after the collapse of the USSR and Ukraine's independence was exacerbated, first of all, because of the desire to acquire its own "nuclear status" to "contain Russia", but to ensure which it did not have the appropriate resources. The author tells about the dramatic situation that developed during the division of the nuclear arsenal of the former USSR after its collapse. The author convincingly substantiates Russia's position regarding the confirmation of its rights to the absolute possession of nuclear weapons, since it was necessary to put them under reliable and unified control. The author rightly believes that after the collapse of the USSR and the formation of four nuclear states instead of one at once, on the territory of which nuclear arsenals were located, the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT, 1968) would be violated. The author analyzes in detail the Budapest memorandum of 1994 and proves that its main essence was to convince Ukraine to confirm its "non-nuclear status". The author reveals the role of the US and NATO in providing "guarantees" to Ukraine to confirm its "non-nuclear status". In the current situation, according to the author, it was necessary to preserve international nuclear security as a single system, which also met the interests of Russia. A special place in the article is occupied by the analysis of the "Crimean issue", which is part of the Ukrainian crisis. The author reveals the essence of "nuclear parity" and argues that the "spread" of nuclear weapons breaks the entire existing system of international nuclear security and will not be able to ensure peace. The author comes to the conclusion that the "nuclear aspect" is the main meaning of the Ukrainian crisis, which should be resolved not by unilateral, but by universal efforts.
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