基本面因素对股价的影响——以尼泊尔商业银行为例

Prof. Dr. Radhe Shyam Pradhan, L. Paudel
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引用次数: 8

摘要

本研究考察了基本面因素对尼泊尔商业银行股价的影响。资产收益率、净资产收益率、净利润率、每股收益和每股股息是自变量。而每股市场价格和每股市场价格变化是因变量。数据收集自尼泊尔拉斯特拉银行发布的《银行与金融统计》和《银行监管报告》以及所选商业银行的年报。该研究基于尼泊尔13家商业银行2007年至2014年的数据,共进行了104次观察。对回归模型进行估计,检验基本面因素对尼泊尔商业银行股价的显著性和影响。结果表明,每股股息(DPS)、资产收益率(ROA)和每股收益(EPS)与股价(每股市价和每股市价变动)呈正相关。这表明DPS、ROA和EPS越高,股价越高。然而,净利润率与股价呈负相关。回归结果显示,DPS和每股收益的beta系数在5%的显著水平上正显著。
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Impact of Fundamental Factors on Stock Price: A Case of Nepalese Commercial Banks
This study examines the impact of fundamental factors on stock price of Nepalese commercial banks. Return on assets, return on equity, net profit margin, earning per share and dividend per share are the independent variables. And market price per share and change in market price per share are the dependent variables. Data are collected from the Banking and Financial Statistics and Bank Supervision Report published by Nepal Rastra Bank and annual reports of the selected commercial banks. The study is based on 13 commercial banks of Nepal from 2007 to 2014, leading to a total of 104 observations. The regression models are estimated to test the significance and impact of fundamental factors in stock price of Nepalese commercial banks. The result shows that dividend per share (DPS), return on assets (ROA) and earning per share (EPS) are positively related to the stock price (market price per share and change in market price per share). This indicates that higher the DPS, ROA and EPS, higher would be the stock price. However, net profit margin is negatively related to stock price. The regression result shows that the beta coefficients for DPS and EPS are positively significant with market price per share at 5 percent level of significance.
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